Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the death of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated open conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued written statements read on state media and appeared in AI-generated clips, but has made no verified in-person public appearances or direct video addresses through late May. Russian and Iranian officials have cited security concerns tied to the ongoing war and potential targeting as reasons for the seclusion, while health rumors persist without confirmation. The Assembly of Experts selected him rapidly amid regime continuity needs, yet his low public profile has fueled trader assessments of barriers to visibility, including wartime risks and institutional preferences for controlled messaging until conditions stabilize.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,697,761 거래량
2026.05.31
5월 31일
1%
June 30
14%
$1,697,761 거래량
5월 31일
$442,353 거래량
1%
June 30
$26,632 거래량
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the death of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated open conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued written statements read on state media and appeared in AI-generated clips, but has made no verified in-person public appearances or direct video addresses through late May. Russian and Iranian officials have cited security concerns tied to the ongoing war and potential targeting as reasons for the seclusion, while health rumors persist without confirmation. The Assembly of Experts selected him rapidly amid regime continuity needs, yet his low public profile has fueled trader assessments of barriers to visibility, including wartime risks and institutional preferences for controlled messaging until conditions stabilize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
거래량
$1,697,761종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the death of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated open conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued written statements read on state media and appeared in AI-generated clips, but has made no verified in-person public appearances or direct video addresses through late May. Russian and Iranian officials have cited security concerns tied to the ongoing war and potential targeting as reasons for the seclusion, while health rumors persist without confirmation. The Assembly of Experts selected him rapidly amid regime continuity needs, yet his low public profile has fueled trader assessments of barriers to visibility, including wartime risks and institutional preferences for controlled messaging until conditions stabilize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
거래량
$1,697,761종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the death of his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that initiated open conflict. Since assuming the role, he has issued written statements read on state media and appeared in AI-generated clips, but has made no verified in-person public appearances or direct video addresses through late May. Russian and Iranian officials have cited security concerns tied to the ongoing war and potential targeting as reasons for the seclusion, while health rumors persist without confirmation. The Assembly of Experts selected him rapidly amid regime continuity needs, yet his low public profile has fueled trader assessments of barriers to visibility, including wartime risks and institutional preferences for controlled messaging until conditions stabilize.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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