Since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearances, prompting widespread speculation about his health and command authority. Recent reports from April 11 indicate he sustained severe facial and leg injuries in the strikes, with unconfirmed claims as of April 15 suggesting he is incapacitated and receiving treatment in Qom, potentially not in control of the regime. State media has aired messages attributed to him—seeking compensation without war—and archival footage, but lacks live proof-of-life amid escalating tensions. Traders monitor for any regime confirmation or diplomatic signals that could prompt an appearance before month-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,226,893 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 30일
10%
5월 31일
29%
$1,226,893 거래량
4월 30일
$482,282 거래량
10%
5월 31일
$128,806 거래량
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearances, prompting widespread speculation about his health and command authority. Recent reports from April 11 indicate he sustained severe facial and leg injuries in the strikes, with unconfirmed claims as of April 15 suggesting he is incapacitated and receiving treatment in Qom, potentially not in control of the regime. State media has aired messages attributed to him—seeking compensation without war—and archival footage, but lacks live proof-of-life amid escalating tensions. Traders monitor for any regime confirmation or diplomatic signals that could prompt an appearance before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
마켓 개설일: Mar 13, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
거래량
$1,226,893종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearances, prompting widespread speculation about his health and command authority. Recent reports from April 11 indicate he sustained severe facial and leg injuries in the strikes, with unconfirmed claims as of April 15 suggesting he is incapacitated and receiving treatment in Qom, potentially not in control of the regime. State media has aired messages attributed to him—seeking compensation without war—and archival footage, but lacks live proof-of-life amid escalating tensions. Traders monitor for any regime confirmation or diplomatic signals that could prompt an appearance before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
거래량
$1,226,893종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, Mojtaba Khamenei has made no verified public appearances, prompting widespread speculation about his health and command authority. Recent reports from April 11 indicate he sustained severe facial and leg injuries in the strikes, with unconfirmed claims as of April 15 suggesting he is incapacitated and receiving treatment in Qom, potentially not in control of the regime. State media has aired messages attributed to him—seeking compensation without war—and archival footage, but lacks live proof-of-life amid escalating tensions. Traders monitor for any regime confirmation or diplomatic signals that could prompt an appearance before month-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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