Trader consensus favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of formal negotiations eight months before the current agreement's expiration and entrenched disputes over a proposed salary cap, luxury tax hikes, and revenue sharing. Recent March reports highlighted owners' push for a cap—long resisted by the MLBPA—echoing the 99-day lockout that delayed the 2022 season, with analysts deeming a repeat "almost guaranteed" post-World Series. No meetings or progress have surfaced in the past 30 days amid the early-season focus on standings and trade deadline roster moves, underscoring the typical timeline where talks intensify late, often spilling past deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.01
신규
신규
2026.12.01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of formal negotiations eight months before the current agreement's expiration and entrenched disputes over a proposed salary cap, luxury tax hikes, and revenue sharing. Recent March reports highlighted owners' push for a cap—long resisted by the MLBPA—echoing the 99-day lockout that delayed the 2022 season, with analysts deeming a repeat "almost guaranteed" post-World Series. No meetings or progress have surfaced in the past 30 days amid the early-season focus on standings and trade deadline roster moves, underscoring the typical timeline where talks intensify late, often spilling past deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
거래량
$6,172종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of formal negotiations eight months before the current agreement's expiration and entrenched disputes over a proposed salary cap, luxury tax hikes, and revenue sharing. Recent March reports highlighted owners' push for a cap—long resisted by the MLBPA—echoing the 99-day lockout that delayed the 2022 season, with analysts deeming a repeat "almost guaranteed" post-World Series. No meetings or progress have surfaced in the past 30 days amid the early-season focus on standings and trade deadline roster moves, underscoring the typical timeline where talks intensify late, often spilling past deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$6,172종료일
2026.12.01마켓 개설일
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors no new MLB CBA by Dec. 1 at 64.5% implied probability, driven by the absence of formal negotiations eight months before the current agreement's expiration and entrenched disputes over a proposed salary cap, luxury tax hikes, and revenue sharing. Recent March reports highlighted owners' push for a cap—long resisted by the MLBPA—echoing the 99-day lockout that delayed the 2022 season, with analysts deeming a repeat "almost guaranteed" post-World Series. No meetings or progress have surfaced in the past 30 days amid the early-season focus on standings and trade deadline roster moves, underscoring the typical timeline where talks intensify late, often spilling past deadlines.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문