The official launch of the casting search in mid-May has anchored trader sentiment, with Amazon MGM Studios confirming auditions underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold and director Denis Villeneuve, yet no actor selected. This early-stage process, involving meetings with rising British and international talent including stage newcomer Tom Francis, has driven the overwhelming 88.5% market-implied probability on no Bond chosen, reflecting realistic timelines for a major franchise reboot. Speculation around frontrunners like Callum Turner, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson persists from prior betting chatter and recent profiles, but lacks the guild or precursor signals that typically solidify awards momentum, leaving room for late surprises as the search continues.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
본드 선정 안 됨 89%
캘럼 터너 5.0%
해리스 딕킨슨 3.3%
아론 테일러-존슨 2.9%
$2,958,592 거래량
$2,958,592 거래량

본드 선정 안 됨
89%

캘럼 터너
5%

해리스 딕킨슨
3%

아론 테일러-존슨
3%

제이콥 엘로디
3%

톰 홀랜드
1%

헨리 카빌
1%

테오 제임스
1%

톰 하디
<1%

잭 로우든
<1%

제임스 노튼
<1%

폴 메스칼
<1%

피어스 브로스넌
<1%

로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%

조쉬 오코너
<1%
본드 선정 안 됨 89%
캘럼 터너 5.0%
해리스 딕킨슨 3.3%
아론 테일러-존슨 2.9%
$2,958,592 거래량
$2,958,592 거래량

본드 선정 안 됨
89%

캘럼 터너
5%

해리스 딕킨슨
3%

아론 테일러-존슨
3%

제이콥 엘로디
3%

톰 홀랜드
1%

헨리 카빌
1%

테오 제임스
1%

톰 하디
<1%

잭 로우든
<1%

제임스 노튼
<1%

폴 메스칼
<1%

피어스 브로스넌
<1%

로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%

조쉬 오코너
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The official launch of the casting search in mid-May has anchored trader sentiment, with Amazon MGM Studios confirming auditions underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold and director Denis Villeneuve, yet no actor selected. This early-stage process, involving meetings with rising British and international talent including stage newcomer Tom Francis, has driven the overwhelming 88.5% market-implied probability on no Bond chosen, reflecting realistic timelines for a major franchise reboot. Speculation around frontrunners like Callum Turner, Harris Dickinson, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson persists from prior betting chatter and recent profiles, but lacks the guild or precursor signals that typically solidify awards momentum, leaving room for late surprises as the search continues.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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