Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the confirmed lack of an official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios despite five years since Daniel Craig's exit. Development on Bond 26 progresses slowly, with Peaky Blinders creator Steven Knight recently scripting and director Denis Villeneuve eyeing a 2027 shoot for 2028 release, prioritizing a "fresh face" British male per industry reports—delaying casting into later 2026. Callum Turner leads contenders at 20.5% amid persistent rumors positioning him as the post-Craig frontrunner, bolstered by his rising star in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded 2024 buzz holds him at 4.5%. Jacob Elordi and Henry Cavill trail at 1.8% each on sporadic social media speculation, with no guild nods or tests shifting momentum yet; watch for script lock and auditions as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
다음 제임스 본드 배우는?
본드 선정 안 됨 65%
캘럼 터너 21%
아론 테일러-존슨 4.5%
헨리 카빌 1.9%
$1,797,235 거래량
$1,797,235 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
65%
캘럼 터너
21%
아론 테일러-존슨
5%
헨리 카빌
2%
제이콥 엘로디
2%
테오 제임스
1%
폴 메스칼
1%
조쉬 오코너
1%
톰 하디
1%
잭 로우든
<1%
해리스 딕킨슨
<1%
제임스 노튼
<1%
톰 홀랜드
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%
본드 선정 안 됨 65%
캘럼 터너 21%
아론 테일러-존슨 4.5%
헨리 카빌 1.9%
$1,797,235 거래량
$1,797,235 거래량
본드 선정 안 됨
65%
캘럼 터너
21%
아론 테일러-존슨
5%
헨리 카빌
2%
제이콥 엘로디
2%
테오 제임스
1%
폴 메스칼
1%
조쉬 오코너
1%
톰 하디
1%
잭 로우든
<1%
해리스 딕킨슨
<1%
제임스 노튼
<1%
톰 홀랜드
<1%
피어스 브로스넌
<1%
로버트 제임스-콜리어
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen anytime soon at 64.5% implied probability, reflecting the confirmed lack of an official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios despite five years since Daniel Craig's exit. Development on Bond 26 progresses slowly, with Peaky Blinders creator Steven Knight recently scripting and director Denis Villeneuve eyeing a 2027 shoot for 2028 release, prioritizing a "fresh face" British male per industry reports—delaying casting into later 2026. Callum Turner leads contenders at 20.5% amid persistent rumors positioning him as the post-Craig frontrunner, bolstered by his rising star in The Boys in the Boat and Masters of the Air, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson's faded 2024 buzz holds him at 4.5%. Jacob Elordi and Henry Cavill trail at 1.8% each on sporadic social media speculation, with no guild nods or tests shifting momentum yet; watch for script lock and auditions as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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