The closely contested NV-01 House race centers on incumbent Democrat Dina Titus seeking re-election in a district with a D+2 partisan voting index. Major forecasters rate it Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's historical lean and Titus's long tenure. Republicans have targeted her recent vote against legislation ending federal taxes on tips, framing it as out of step with economic priorities in the Las Vegas area, though she has expressed broader support for related relief. With Democratic and Republican primaries set for June 9, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a narrow 50% implied probability and Republicans 37.5%, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the November general election amid national midterm dynamics and local affordability concerns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
37%
Democratic Party
50%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$896 거래량
37%
Democratic Party
$1,311 거래량
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested NV-01 House race centers on incumbent Democrat Dina Titus seeking re-election in a district with a D+2 partisan voting index. Major forecasters rate it Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's historical lean and Titus's long tenure. Republicans have targeted her recent vote against legislation ending federal taxes on tips, framing it as out of step with economic priorities in the Las Vegas area, though she has expressed broader support for related relief. With Democratic and Republican primaries set for June 9, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a narrow 50% implied probability and Republicans 37.5%, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the November general election amid national midterm dynamics and local affordability concerns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$2,207종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The closely contested NV-01 House race centers on incumbent Democrat Dina Titus seeking re-election in a district with a D+2 partisan voting index. Major forecasters rate it Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's historical lean and Titus's long tenure. Republicans have targeted her recent vote against legislation ending federal taxes on tips, framing it as out of step with economic priorities in the Las Vegas area, though she has expressed broader support for related relief. With Democratic and Republican primaries set for June 9, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a narrow 50% implied probability and Republicans 37.5%, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the November general election amid national midterm dynamics and local affordability concerns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,207종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely contested NV-01 House race centers on incumbent Democrat Dina Titus seeking re-election in a district with a D+2 partisan voting index. Major forecasters rate it Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the seat's historical lean and Titus's long tenure. Republicans have targeted her recent vote against legislation ending federal taxes on tips, framing it as out of step with economic priorities in the Las Vegas area, though she has expressed broader support for related relief. With Democratic and Republican primaries set for June 9, trader consensus on Polymarket assigns Democrats a narrow 50% implied probability and Republicans 37.5%, underscoring uncertainty ahead of the November general election amid national midterm dynamics and local affordability concerns.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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