Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus' strong hold on Nevada's 1st Congressional District, a Democratic-leaning Las Vegas bastion with her past wins exceeding 52%, anchors trader consensus at 82% for Democrats. The March 13, 2026, filing deadline finalized a modest Democratic primary field including challengers Gabriel Cornejo and Joy Hoover against Titus, while Republicans face a fragmented contest featuring state Sen. Carrie Buck, Jim Blockey, and others. Despite GOP attacks on Titus' vote against the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's no-tax-on-tips provision—salient for service workers—ratings remain Likely Democratic per Cook Political Report, with Inside Elections at Lean Democratic. June 9 closed primaries represent the next key event ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
11%
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Dina Titus' strong hold on Nevada's 1st Congressional District, a Democratic-leaning Las Vegas bastion with her past wins exceeding 52%, anchors trader consensus at 82% for Democrats. The March 13, 2026, filing deadline finalized a modest Democratic primary field including challengers Gabriel Cornejo and Joy Hoover against Titus, while Republicans face a fragmented contest featuring state Sen. Carrie Buck, Jim Blockey, and others. Despite GOP attacks on Titus' vote against the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's no-tax-on-tips provision—salient for service workers—ratings remain Likely Democratic per Cook Political Report, with Inside Elections at Lean Democratic. June 9 closed primaries represent the next key event ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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