Claire Valdez holds a 72.5% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 25%, reflecting trader consensus on her edge in a race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez at 23% among likely primary voters compared with Reynoso’s 21% and Julie Won’s 13%, with 43% undecided. Valdez benefits from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and Democratic Socialists of America organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts, plus a slight fundraising lead. Reynoso draws support from Velázquez’s endorsement and organized labor but trails in recent polling and early momentum. Other candidates register negligible shares in both surveys and market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Claire Valdez 73%
Antonio Reynoso 26%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$130,001 거래량
$130,001 거래량
Claire Valdez
73%
Antonio Reynoso
26%
Julie Won
1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
Claire Valdez 73%
Antonio Reynoso 26%
Julie Won <1%
Kristen Gonzalez <1%
$130,001 거래량
$130,001 거래량
Claire Valdez
73%
Antonio Reynoso
26%
Julie Won
1%
Kristen Gonzalez
<1%
Lincoln Restler
<1%
Julia Salazar
<1%
Jennifer Gútierrez
<1%
Sandy Nurse
<1%
Tiffany Cabán
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Claire Valdez holds a 72.5% implied probability in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 7th Congressional District, ahead of Antonio Reynoso at 25%, reflecting trader consensus on her edge in a race to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velázquez. A late-May Emerson poll showed Valdez at 23% among likely primary voters compared with Reynoso’s 21% and Julie Won’s 13%, with 43% undecided. Valdez benefits from Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement and Democratic Socialists of America organizational strength in Queens and Brooklyn turnout efforts, plus a slight fundraising lead. Reynoso draws support from Velázquez’s endorsement and organized labor but trails in recent polling and early momentum. Other candidates register negligible shares in both surveys and market pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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