Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district after winning the seat by roughly two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as leaning or solidly Democratic, citing Riley’s established constituent services record and early fundraising advantage, where he nearly doubled his Republican challenger’s receipts in the first quarter of 2026. The Republican primary on June 23 features state Senator Peter Oberacker and another contender, leaving the GOP nominee unsettled ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts once the Republican field clarifies and campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
14%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$225 거래량
71%
Republican Party
$50 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district after winning the seat by roughly two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as leaning or solidly Democratic, citing Riley’s established constituent services record and early fundraising advantage, where he nearly doubled his Republican challenger’s receipts in the first quarter of 2026. The Republican primary on June 23 features state Senator Peter Oberacker and another contender, leaving the GOP nominee unsettled ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts once the Republican field clarifies and campaigning intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$275종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district after winning the seat by roughly two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as leaning or solidly Democratic, citing Riley’s established constituent services record and early fundraising advantage, where he nearly doubled his Republican challenger’s receipts in the first quarter of 2026. The Republican primary on June 23 features state Senator Peter Oberacker and another contender, leaving the GOP nominee unsettled ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts once the Republican field clarifies and campaigning intensifies.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$275종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district after winning the seat by roughly two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race as leaning or solidly Democratic, citing Riley’s established constituent services record and early fundraising advantage, where he nearly doubled his Republican challenger’s receipts in the first quarter of 2026. The Republican primary on June 23 features state Senator Peter Oberacker and another contender, leaving the GOP nominee unsettled ahead of the November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee while leaving room for shifts once the Republican field clarifies and campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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