Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability to win the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated 60-seat Senate following the April 12-13 general elections, driven by exit polls from Datum projecting FP with 22 seats—a clear plurality ahead of Juntos por el Perú (11 seats) and others in a fragmented field. Official ONPE counts, slowed by logistical ballot delays extending voting into a second day, show early national vote shares competitive (FP around 14-15% vs. RP's slight edge initially), but traders prioritize exit poll reliability amid Keiko Fujimori's presidential lead. Protests in Lima demand a rerun over disputes, yet no verified irregularities have emerged. Upsets would require court-ordered annulments or drastic late-count reversals, scenarios deemed improbable given procedural progress.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트FP 99.3%
JP <1%
RP <1%
APP <1%
$76,622 거래량
$76,622 거래량
2026.04.12
FP
99%
JP
1%
RP
<1%
APP
<1%
AvP
<1%
PL
<1%
SP
<1%
PP
<1%
AP
<1%
FP 99.3%
JP <1%
RP <1%
APP <1%
$76,622 거래량
$76,622 거래량
2026.04.12
FP
$28,420 거래량
99%
JP
$21,015 거래량
1%
RP
$14,834 거래량
<1%
APP
$4,182 거래량
<1%
AvP
$3,354 거래량
<1%
PL
$539 거래량
<1%
SP
$1,354 거래량
<1%
PP
$1,245 거래량
<1%
AP
$1,681 거래량
<1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability to win the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated 60-seat Senate following the April 12-13 general elections, driven by exit polls from Datum projecting FP with 22 seats—a clear plurality ahead of Juntos por el Perú (11 seats) and others in a fragmented field. Official ONPE counts, slowed by logistical ballot delays extending voting into a second day, show early national vote shares competitive (FP around 14-15% vs. RP's slight edge initially), but traders prioritize exit poll reliability amid Keiko Fujimori's presidential lead. Protests in Lima demand a rerun over disputes, yet no verified irregularities have emerged. Upsets would require court-ordered annulments or drastic late-count reversals, scenarios deemed improbable given procedural progress.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
거래량
$76,622종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability to win the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated 60-seat Senate following the April 12-13 general elections, driven by exit polls from Datum projecting FP with 22 seats—a clear plurality ahead of Juntos por el Perú (11 seats) and others in a fragmented field. Official ONPE counts, slowed by logistical ballot delays extending voting into a second day, show early national vote shares competitive (FP around 14-15% vs. RP's slight edge initially), but traders prioritize exit poll reliability amid Keiko Fujimori's presidential lead. Protests in Lima demand a rerun over disputes, yet no verified irregularities have emerged. Upsets would require court-ordered annulments or drastic late-count reversals, scenarios deemed improbable given procedural progress.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Senate election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Senate.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
거래량
$76,622종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Fuerza Popular (FP) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.3% implied probability to win the most seats in Peru's newly reinstated 60-seat Senate following the April 12-13 general elections, driven by exit polls from Datum projecting FP with 22 seats—a clear plurality ahead of Juntos por el Perú (11 seats) and others in a fragmented field. Official ONPE counts, slowed by logistical ballot delays extending voting into a second day, show early national vote shares competitive (FP around 14-15% vs. RP's slight edge initially), but traders prioritize exit poll reliability amid Keiko Fujimori's presidential lead. Protests in Lima demand a rerun over disputes, yet no verified irregularities have emerged. Upsets would require court-ordered annulments or drastic late-count reversals, scenarios deemed improbable given procedural progress.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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