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세계·세계 선거

퀘벡 총선 승리자

Market icon
세계·세계 선거

퀘벡 총선 승리자

퀘벡당 55%

PLQ 37%

퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$423,743 거래량

퀘벡당 55%

PLQ 37%

퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ) 9%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$423,743 거래량

2026년 퀘벡 총선에서 퀘벡당이 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

퀘벡당

$41,716 거래량

55%

2026년 퀘벡 총선에서 퀘벡 자유당이 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

PLQ

$47,611 거래량

37%

2026년 퀘벡 총선에서 퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)이 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

퀘벡 미래 연합(CAQ)

$42,701 거래량

9%

2026년 퀘벡 총선에서 퀘벡 보수당이 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

PCQ

$138,219 거래량

<1%

2026년 퀘벡 총선에서 퀘벡 녹색당이 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

PVQ

$105,358 거래량

<1%

퀘벡솔리데르가 2026년 퀘벡 총선에서 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

QS

$48,137 거래량

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, driven by the Coalition Avenir Québec's (CAQ) collapse following Premier François Legault's January 2026 resignation amid record-low approval ratings. PQ by-election sweeps in ridings like Terrebonne, Jean-Talon, and Chicoutimi bolstered their regional strength in francophone strongholds, yielding 338Canada projections of a PQ majority (63 seats) despite tight popular vote polls. Recent Léger (April 6) and Pallas Data (April 13–14) surveys show the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) edging PQ (33–32% vs. 29–33%), fueled by new leader Charles Milliard's anti-sovereignty appeal, while CAQ languishes at 8–14% under Christine Fréchette, elected April 12. Fragmented right-wing support for PCQ limits threats, emphasizing PQ's electoral math advantage in this first-past-the-post system.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
거래량
$423,743
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Trader consensus favors the Parti Québécois (PQ) at 56% implied probability to win the most seats in Quebec's October 5, 2026 general election, driven by the Coalition Avenir Québec's (CAQ) collapse following Premier François Legault's January 2026 resignation amid record-low approval ratings. PQ by-election sweeps in ridings like Terrebonne, Jean-Talon, and Chicoutimi bolstered their regional strength in francophone strongholds, yielding 338Canada projections of a PQ majority (63 seats) despite tight popular vote polls. Recent Léger (April 6) and Pallas Data (April 13–14) surveys show the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) edging PQ (33–32% vs. 29–33%), fueled by new leader Charles Milliard's anti-sovereignty appeal, while CAQ languishes at 8–14% under Christine Fréchette, elected April 12. Fragmented right-wing support for PCQ limits threats, emphasizing PQ's electoral math advantage in this first-past-the-post system.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
거래량
$423,743
종료일
2026.10.05
마켓 개설일
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"퀘벡 총선 승리자"은 6개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 56%의 "퀘벡당"이며, 이어서 37%의 "PLQ"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 56¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 56%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "퀘벡 총선 승리자"은 총 $423.7K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 2, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"퀘벡 총선 승리자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 6개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"퀘벡 총선 승리자"의 현재 유력 후보는 56%의 "퀘벡당"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 56%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 37%의 "PLQ"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"퀘벡 총선 승리자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.