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스포츠·평화

러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 팔레이

Market icon
스포츠·평화

러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 팔레이

예

17% 확률
Polymarket

$406,174 거래량

예

17% 확률
Polymarket

$406,174 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus heavily favors "No" at 83% implied probability for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay resolving Yes by December 31, 2026, reflecting entrenched battlefield dynamics and stalled diplomacy over the past week. Russian forces pressed advances near Kupiansk and launched deadly strikes on Kyiv as recently as April 16, killing three including a child, while Ukraine countered with drone superiority and new German aid packages including Patriot missiles and joint drone development. A brief Orthodox Easter ceasefire earlier this month saw mutual violation accusations, failing to build momentum toward a lasting halt, NATO membership waiver, or signed peace deal—conditions all required for Yes. With no substantive talks advancing and Russia benefiting from elevated oil prices, markets price in slim odds of alignment by deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
거래량
$406,174
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus heavily favors "No" at 83% implied probability for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay resolving Yes by December 31, 2026, reflecting entrenched battlefield dynamics and stalled diplomacy over the past week. Russian forces pressed advances near Kupiansk and launched deadly strikes on Kyiv as recently as April 16, killing three including a child, while Ukraine countered with drone superiority and new German aid packages including Patriot missiles and joint drone development. A brief Orthodox Easter ceasefire earlier this month saw mutual violation accusations, failing to build momentum toward a lasting halt, NATO membership waiver, or signed peace deal—conditions all required for Yes. With no substantive talks advancing and Russia benefiting from elevated oil prices, markets price in slim odds of alignment by deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
거래량
$406,174
종료일
2026.12.31
마켓 개설일
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 팔레이"은 2개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 17%의 "러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 회담"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 17¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 17%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 팔레이"은 총 $406.2K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Nov 24, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 팔레이"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 2개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 팔레이"의 현재 유력 후보는 17%의 "러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 회담"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 17%의 확률을 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"러시아 x 우크라이나 평화 팔레이"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.