Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race has opened the Republican-leaning SC-01 seat, drawing crowded primaries on June 9 with 10 GOP contenders including former Rep. Mark Sanford's high-profile late-March comeback bid and four Democrats led by candidates like Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore. Trader consensus at 75% for a Republican general election win in November reflects the district's consistent GOP performance—R+8 Cook partisan voting index—despite DCCC targeting it as in play and recent cross-party endorsements for Democrats. Sanford's entry may consolidate conservative support amid a field of mostly political newcomers, outweighing Democratic enthusiasm in this battleground-leaning but historically Republican stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$32,517 거래량
$32,517 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
25%
$32,517 거래량
$32,517 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,385 거래량
75%
Democratic Party
$27,132 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race has opened the Republican-leaning SC-01 seat, drawing crowded primaries on June 9 with 10 GOP contenders including former Rep. Mark Sanford's high-profile late-March comeback bid and four Democrats led by candidates like Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore. Trader consensus at 75% for a Republican general election win in November reflects the district's consistent GOP performance—R+8 Cook partisan voting index—despite DCCC targeting it as in play and recent cross-party endorsements for Democrats. Sanford's entry may consolidate conservative support amid a field of mostly political newcomers, outweighing Democratic enthusiasm in this battleground-leaning but historically Republican stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$32,517종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race has opened the Republican-leaning SC-01 seat, drawing crowded primaries on June 9 with 10 GOP contenders including former Rep. Mark Sanford's high-profile late-March comeback bid and four Democrats led by candidates like Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore. Trader consensus at 75% for a Republican general election win in November reflects the district's consistent GOP performance—R+8 Cook partisan voting index—despite DCCC targeting it as in play and recent cross-party endorsements for Democrats. Sanford's entry may consolidate conservative support amid a field of mostly political newcomers, outweighing Democratic enthusiasm in this battleground-leaning but historically Republican stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$32,517종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Nancy Mace's departure to pursue the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race has opened the Republican-leaning SC-01 seat, drawing crowded primaries on June 9 with 10 GOP contenders including former Rep. Mark Sanford's high-profile late-March comeback bid and four Democrats led by candidates like Mac Deford and Nancy Lacore. Trader consensus at 75% for a Republican general election win in November reflects the district's consistent GOP performance—R+8 Cook partisan voting index—despite DCCC targeting it as in play and recent cross-party endorsements for Democrats. Sanford's entry may consolidate conservative support amid a field of mostly political newcomers, outweighing Democratic enthusiasm in this battleground-leaning but historically Republican stronghold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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