Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3 parliamentary by-elections, coinciding with local elections, due to its commanding leads in recent nationwide polls showing 45-48% support against the People Power Party's (PPP) 18-20%, alongside President Lee's 69% approval rating. This positioning stems from DP's National Assembly majority, strong performance in battleground races even in conservative areas like Daegu and Busan, and PPP's lingering weaknesses from prior leadership turmoil. Fragmentation among smaller parties—Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Progressive Party (PP), and Reform Party (RP)—further dilutes challenges, as seen in recent candidate announcements like Cho Kuk's Pyeongtaek-eul bid. Upsets could arise from a major DP scandal, unified opposition coalitions, or independents like Han Dong-hoon rallying conservatives, though polls indicate low likelihood before the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 96.1%
Progressive Party (PP) 3.9%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) 3.1%
Reform Party (RP) 2.3%
신규
신규
2026.06.03
People Power Party (PPP)
2%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
96%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
3%
Progressive Party (PP)
4%
Reform Party (RP)
2%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 96.1%
Progressive Party (PP) 3.9%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) 3.1%
Reform Party (RP) 2.3%
신규
신규
2026.06.03
People Power Party (PPP)
$621 거래량
2%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
$1,826 거래량
96%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
$0 거래량
3%
Progressive Party (PP)
$0 거래량
4%
Reform Party (RP)
$0 거래량
2%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3 parliamentary by-elections, coinciding with local elections, due to its commanding leads in recent nationwide polls showing 45-48% support against the People Power Party's (PPP) 18-20%, alongside President Lee's 69% approval rating. This positioning stems from DP's National Assembly majority, strong performance in battleground races even in conservative areas like Daegu and Busan, and PPP's lingering weaknesses from prior leadership turmoil. Fragmentation among smaller parties—Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Progressive Party (PP), and Reform Party (RP)—further dilutes challenges, as seen in recent candidate announcements like Cho Kuk's Pyeongtaek-eul bid. Upsets could arise from a major DP scandal, unified opposition coalitions, or independents like Han Dong-hoon rallying conservatives, though polls indicate low likelihood before the vote.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
마켓 개설일: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
거래량
$2,447종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3 parliamentary by-elections, coinciding with local elections, due to its commanding leads in recent nationwide polls showing 45-48% support against the People Power Party's (PPP) 18-20%, alongside President Lee's 69% approval rating. This positioning stems from DP's National Assembly majority, strong performance in battleground races even in conservative areas like Daegu and Busan, and PPP's lingering weaknesses from prior leadership turmoil. Fragmentation among smaller parties—Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Progressive Party (PP), and Reform Party (RP)—further dilutes challenges, as seen in recent candidate announcements like Cho Kuk's Pyeongtaek-eul bid. Upsets could arise from a major DP scandal, unified opposition coalitions, or independents like Han Dong-hoon rallying conservatives, though polls indicate low likelihood before the vote.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
거래량
$2,447종료일
2026.06.03마켓 개설일
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in South Korea's June 3 parliamentary by-elections, coinciding with local elections, due to its commanding leads in recent nationwide polls showing 45-48% support against the People Power Party's (PPP) 18-20%, alongside President Lee's 69% approval rating. This positioning stems from DP's National Assembly majority, strong performance in battleground races even in conservative areas like Daegu and Busan, and PPP's lingering weaknesses from prior leadership turmoil. Fragmentation among smaller parties—Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP), Progressive Party (PP), and Reform Party (RP)—further dilutes challenges, as seen in recent candidate announcements like Cho Kuk's Pyeongtaek-eul bid. Upsets could arise from a major DP scandal, unified opposition coalitions, or independents like Han Dong-hoon rallying conservatives, though polls indicate low likelihood before the vote.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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