Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination last week by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the primary runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Republican-leaning Texas for the November general election. The immediate launch of mutual attack ads and tours—Paxton labeling Democrat James Talarico a radical on borders, gender issues, and energy while Talarico highlights Paxton's record of scandals—has intensified the race without shifting the underlying partisan dynamics. A late-May poll showed Talarico narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet trader consensus reflects Texas's structural Republican advantage and historical patterns for Senate contests in the state. Fundraising momentum for Talarico post-nomination and questions around Paxton's appeal add uncertainty ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$431,621 거래량
$431,621 거래량
2026.11.03
켄 팩스턴 (공화당)
61%
제임스 탈라리코 (민주당)
40%
$431,621 거래량
$431,621 거래량
2026.11.03
켄 팩스턴 (공화당)
$254,081 거래량
61%
제임스 탈라리코 (민주당)
$177,708 거래량
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination last week by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the primary runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Republican-leaning Texas for the November general election. The immediate launch of mutual attack ads and tours—Paxton labeling Democrat James Talarico a radical on borders, gender issues, and energy while Talarico highlights Paxton's record of scandals—has intensified the race without shifting the underlying partisan dynamics. A late-May poll showed Talarico narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet trader consensus reflects Texas's structural Republican advantage and historical patterns for Senate contests in the state. Fundraising momentum for Talarico post-nomination and questions around Paxton's appeal add uncertainty ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
거래량
$431,621종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination last week by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the primary runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Republican-leaning Texas for the November general election. The immediate launch of mutual attack ads and tours—Paxton labeling Democrat James Talarico a radical on borders, gender issues, and energy while Talarico highlights Paxton's record of scandals—has intensified the race without shifting the underlying partisan dynamics. A late-May poll showed Talarico narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet trader consensus reflects Texas's structural Republican advantage and historical patterns for Senate contests in the state. Fundraising momentum for Talarico post-nomination and questions around Paxton's appeal add uncertainty ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$431,621종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination last week by defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn in the primary runoff, aided by President Trump's endorsement, positioning him as the clear favorite in Republican-leaning Texas for the November general election. The immediate launch of mutual attack ads and tours—Paxton labeling Democrat James Talarico a radical on borders, gender issues, and energy while Talarico highlights Paxton's record of scandals—has intensified the race without shifting the underlying partisan dynamics. A late-May poll showed Talarico narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet trader consensus reflects Texas's structural Republican advantage and historical patterns for Senate contests in the state. Fundraising momentum for Talarico post-nomination and questions around Paxton's appeal add uncertainty ahead of the fall campaign.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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