The Republican Party's 84% trader consensus in the TX-21 House election reflects the district's solid GOP lean, spanning conservative Hill Country and northern San Antonio suburbs, where Donald Trump won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy vacated the seat last year to run for Texas attorney general, advancing to a May runoff after the March 3 primary. There, former MLB star Mark Teixeira cruised to victory in a crowded 14-candidate Republican primary, emerging as a well-endorsed nominee against Democrat Kristin Hook. Absent recent polling or major shifts, traders price in historical partisan dominance and limited Democratic path-to-victory in the November 3 general election, though scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$27,805 거래량
$27,805 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
84%
민주당
14%
$27,805 거래량
$27,805 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$15,337 거래량
84%
민주당
$12,468 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's 84% trader consensus in the TX-21 House election reflects the district's solid GOP lean, spanning conservative Hill Country and northern San Antonio suburbs, where Donald Trump won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy vacated the seat last year to run for Texas attorney general, advancing to a May runoff after the March 3 primary. There, former MLB star Mark Teixeira cruised to victory in a crowded 14-candidate Republican primary, emerging as a well-endorsed nominee against Democrat Kristin Hook. Absent recent polling or major shifts, traders price in historical partisan dominance and limited Democratic path-to-victory in the November 3 general election, though scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$27,805종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's 84% trader consensus in the TX-21 House election reflects the district's solid GOP lean, spanning conservative Hill Country and northern San Antonio suburbs, where Donald Trump won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy vacated the seat last year to run for Texas attorney general, advancing to a May runoff after the March 3 primary. There, former MLB star Mark Teixeira cruised to victory in a crowded 14-candidate Republican primary, emerging as a well-endorsed nominee against Democrat Kristin Hook. Absent recent polling or major shifts, traders price in historical partisan dominance and limited Democratic path-to-victory in the November 3 general election, though scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$27,805종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party's 84% trader consensus in the TX-21 House election reflects the district's solid GOP lean, spanning conservative Hill Country and northern San Antonio suburbs, where Donald Trump won by wide margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Rep. Chip Roy vacated the seat last year to run for Texas attorney general, advancing to a May runoff after the March 3 primary. There, former MLB star Mark Teixeira cruised to victory in a crowded 14-candidate Republican primary, emerging as a well-endorsed nominee against Democrat Kristin Hook. Absent recent polling or major shifts, traders price in historical partisan dominance and limited Democratic path-to-victory in the November 3 general election, though scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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