Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 22nd Congressional District with a 76% landslide in the March 3 primary, signaling strong GOP unity in this R+9 to R+11 Cook PVI district rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost 38-62% to Troy Nehls in 2024, won her primary at 55% amid a fragmented field. Absent polling or major shifts post-primaries, trader consensus at 87% for Republicans reflects historical GOP margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, incumbency-like name recognition advantages, and structural barriers for Democrats in this suburban Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,157 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$1,911 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 22nd Congressional District with a 76% landslide in the March 3 primary, signaling strong GOP unity in this R+9 to R+11 Cook PVI district rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost 38-62% to Troy Nehls in 2024, won her primary at 55% amid a fragmented field. Absent polling or major shifts post-primaries, trader consensus at 87% for Republicans reflects historical GOP margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, incumbency-like name recognition advantages, and structural barriers for Democrats in this suburban Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$3,068종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 22nd Congressional District with a 76% landslide in the March 3 primary, signaling strong GOP unity in this R+9 to R+11 Cook PVI district rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost 38-62% to Troy Nehls in 2024, won her primary at 55% amid a fragmented field. Absent polling or major shifts post-primaries, trader consensus at 87% for Republicans reflects historical GOP margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, incumbency-like name recognition advantages, and structural barriers for Democrats in this suburban Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,068종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls, identical twin brother of retiring Rep. Troy Nehls, secured the Republican nomination for Texas' 22nd Congressional District with a 76% landslide in the March 3 primary, signaling strong GOP unity in this R+9 to R+11 Cook PVI district rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Democrat Marquette Greene-Scott, who lost 38-62% to Troy Nehls in 2024, won her primary at 55% amid a fragmented field. Absent polling or major shifts post-primaries, trader consensus at 87% for Republicans reflects historical GOP margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles, incumbency-like name recognition advantages, and structural barriers for Democrats in this suburban Houston battleground ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문