Incumbent Republican Roger Williams, chair of the House Small Business Committee, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary and holds a commanding position in the R+18 district—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—driving trader consensus to 88.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Dione Sims emerged from the Democratic primary on April 9 with 60.5% against William Marks, but her limited fundraising trails Williams' $870,000 cash on hand, reinforcing the partisan lean evidenced by Trump's +24% district margin in 2024. No recent polls show competitiveness, though a strong Democratic midterm wave or scandal could narrow odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Williams, chair of the House Small Business Committee, secured his party's nomination unopposed in the March 3 primary and holds a commanding position in the R+18 district—rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball—driving trader consensus to 88.5% for the GOP in the November 3 general election. Dione Sims emerged from the Democratic primary on April 9 with 60.5% against William Marks, but her limited fundraising trails Williams' $870,000 cash on hand, reinforcing the partisan lean evidenced by Trump's +24% district margin in 2024. No recent polls show competitiveness, though a strong Democratic midterm wave or scandal could narrow odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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