Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 60% of the vote has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a GOP hold in Texas' 31st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index. Carter, seeking re-election after winning 64% in 2024 against Democrat Stuart Whitlow, now faces Democratic nominee Justin Early, who narrowly prevailed in his primary at 58%. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 59-38 edge in 2024, underpin the lopsided odds amid absent general election polling. No major developments have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 ballot awaiting national midterm dynamics or scandals that could narrow the race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,946 거래량
$13,946 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$13,946 거래량
$13,946 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,720 거래량
87%
Democratic Party
$5,226 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 60% of the vote has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a GOP hold in Texas' 31st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index. Carter, seeking re-election after winning 64% in 2024 against Democrat Stuart Whitlow, now faces Democratic nominee Justin Early, who narrowly prevailed in his primary at 58%. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 59-38 edge in 2024, underpin the lopsided odds amid absent general election polling. No major developments have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 ballot awaiting national midterm dynamics or scandals that could narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$13,946종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 60% of the vote has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a GOP hold in Texas' 31st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index. Carter, seeking re-election after winning 64% in 2024 against Democrat Stuart Whitlow, now faces Democratic nominee Justin Early, who narrowly prevailed in his primary at 58%. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 59-38 edge in 2024, underpin the lopsided odds amid absent general election polling. No major developments have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 ballot awaiting national midterm dynamics or scandals that could narrow the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,946종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary victory with 60% of the vote has solidified trader consensus at 87% for a GOP hold in Texas' 31st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voter index. Carter, seeking re-election after winning 64% in 2024 against Democrat Stuart Whitlow, now faces Democratic nominee Justin Early, who narrowly prevailed in his primary at 58%. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including Trump's 59-38 edge in 2024, underpin the lopsided odds amid absent general election polling. No major developments have emerged post-primaries, with the November 3 ballot awaiting national midterm dynamics or scandals that could narrow the race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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