The prime minister holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 to request an early dissolution and set the date of the next UK general election, which must occur by August 2029 unless called sooner. Recent local and devolved elections on 7 May 2026 delivered sharp losses for Labour, widening Reform UK's lead in national polling and intensifying internal party pressure on Keir Starmer. These results have fueled speculation about leadership challenges or a tactical snap poll to reset the government's mandate, yet no announcement has materialized and economic headwinds plus coalition arithmetic make an immediate contest appear unlikely. Traders watch upcoming by-elections, summer economic data, and any leadership contest signals as the June 30 window narrows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 이 (가) 부른 영국 선거?
$773,389 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
4%
December 31, 2026
20%
$773,389 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
4%
December 31, 2026
20%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 11:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The prime minister holds sole discretion under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 to request an early dissolution and set the date of the next UK general election, which must occur by August 2029 unless called sooner. Recent local and devolved elections on 7 May 2026 delivered sharp losses for Labour, widening Reform UK's lead in national polling and intensifying internal party pressure on Keir Starmer. These results have fueled speculation about leadership challenges or a tactical snap poll to reset the government's mandate, yet no announcement has materialized and economic headwinds plus coalition arithmetic make an immediate contest appear unlikely. Traders watch upcoming by-elections, summer economic data, and any leadership contest signals as the June 30 window narrows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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