Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 74% implied probability to win Utah's UT-01 Democratic primary, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him leading state Sen. Nate Blouin 36%-23% among likely voters, bolstered by strong moderate support and high name recognition in the open primary. State Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout and endorsement of McAdams, criticizing Blouin's style amid fundraising gaps—McAdams holds $815,000 cash-on-hand versus Blouin's $180,000—have consolidated moderate backing. Blouin retains progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders but faces attacks on his legislative record. The April 25 state convention precedes the June 23 primary in this Democratic-leaning district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Ben McAdams 74%
네이트 블루인 20%
룻 에스카밀라 <1%
브라이언 킹 <1%
$24,731 거래량
$24,731 거래량
2026.06.23
Ben McAdams
74%
네이트 블루인
20%
룻 에스카밀라
1%
브라이언 킹
<1%
캐슬린 리베
<1%
에린 멘덴홀
<1%
제니 윌슨
<1%
캐롤라인 글라이히
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Ben McAdams 74%
네이트 블루인 20%
룻 에스카밀라 <1%
브라이언 킹 <1%
$24,731 거래량
$24,731 거래량
2026.06.23
Ben McAdams
$6,906 거래량
74%
네이트 블루인
$3,710 거래량
20%
룻 에스카밀라
$5,524 거래량
1%
브라이언 킹
$817 거래량
<1%
캐슬린 리베
$1,305 거래량
<1%
에린 멘덴홀
$4,181 거래량
<1%
제니 윌슨
$944 거래량
<1%
캐롤라인 글라이히
$668 거래량
<1%
Kael Weston
$677 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 74% implied probability to win Utah's UT-01 Democratic primary, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him leading state Sen. Nate Blouin 36%-23% among likely voters, bolstered by strong moderate support and high name recognition in the open primary. State Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout and endorsement of McAdams, criticizing Blouin's style amid fundraising gaps—McAdams holds $815,000 cash-on-hand versus Blouin's $180,000—have consolidated moderate backing. Blouin retains progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders but faces attacks on his legislative record. The April 25 state convention precedes the June 23 primary in this Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
거래량
$24,731종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 74% implied probability to win Utah's UT-01 Democratic primary, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him leading state Sen. Nate Blouin 36%-23% among likely voters, bolstered by strong moderate support and high name recognition in the open primary. State Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout and endorsement of McAdams, criticizing Blouin's style amid fundraising gaps—McAdams holds $815,000 cash-on-hand versus Blouin's $180,000—have consolidated moderate backing. Blouin retains progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders but faces attacks on his legislative record. The April 25 state convention precedes the June 23 primary in this Democratic-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$24,731종료일
2026.06.23마켓 개설일
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams at 74% implied probability to win Utah's UT-01 Democratic primary, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him leading state Sen. Nate Blouin 36%-23% among likely voters, bolstered by strong moderate support and high name recognition in the open primary. State Sen. Kathleen Riebe's April 11 dropout and endorsement of McAdams, criticizing Blouin's style amid fundraising gaps—McAdams holds $815,000 cash-on-hand versus Blouin's $180,000—have consolidated moderate backing. Blouin retains progressive endorsements like Bernie Sanders but faces attacks on his legislative record. The April 25 state convention precedes the June 23 primary in this Democratic-leaning district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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