Trader consensus in the VA-06 House race strongly favors the Democratic Party at 78.5%, driven by anticipation surrounding Virginia's April 21 constitutional amendment referendum on congressional redistricting. Recent polls show narrow majority support for the measure, which would empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new 10-1 map favoring Democrats, potentially transforming the current Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI) into a competitive battleground. High early voting turnout signals intense interest, while GOP lawsuits have failed to block the ballot question. Incumbent Ben Cline runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary amid a crowded Democratic field featuring well-funded Beth Macy. Absent race-specific polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on map-driven shifts ahead of the May 26 filing deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$51,961 거래량
$51,961 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
78%
공화당
22%
$51,961 거래량
$51,961 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$32,554 거래량
78%
공화당
$19,407 거래량
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the VA-06 House race strongly favors the Democratic Party at 78.5%, driven by anticipation surrounding Virginia's April 21 constitutional amendment referendum on congressional redistricting. Recent polls show narrow majority support for the measure, which would empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new 10-1 map favoring Democrats, potentially transforming the current Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI) into a competitive battleground. High early voting turnout signals intense interest, while GOP lawsuits have failed to block the ballot question. Incumbent Ben Cline runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary amid a crowded Democratic field featuring well-funded Beth Macy. Absent race-specific polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on map-driven shifts ahead of the May 26 filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$51,961종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus in the VA-06 House race strongly favors the Democratic Party at 78.5%, driven by anticipation surrounding Virginia's April 21 constitutional amendment referendum on congressional redistricting. Recent polls show narrow majority support for the measure, which would empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new 10-1 map favoring Democrats, potentially transforming the current Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI) into a competitive battleground. High early voting turnout signals intense interest, while GOP lawsuits have failed to block the ballot question. Incumbent Ben Cline runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary amid a crowded Democratic field featuring well-funded Beth Macy. Absent race-specific polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on map-driven shifts ahead of the May 26 filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$51,961종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the VA-06 House race strongly favors the Democratic Party at 78.5%, driven by anticipation surrounding Virginia's April 21 constitutional amendment referendum on congressional redistricting. Recent polls show narrow majority support for the measure, which would empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new 10-1 map favoring Democrats, potentially transforming the current Solid Republican district (R+12 PVI) into a competitive battleground. High early voting turnout signals intense interest, while GOP lawsuits have failed to block the ballot question. Incumbent Ben Cline runs unopposed in the August 4 Republican primary amid a crowded Democratic field featuring well-funded Beth Macy. Absent race-specific polls, odds reflect skin-in-the-game bets on map-driven shifts ahead of the May 26 filing deadline.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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