Trader consensus implies a 95% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, driven by the company's reported preference for the exchange's new rule enabling megacap IPOs like its own—targeting a June 2026 debut following the April 1 confidential S-1 filing—to enter the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 days of a minimal 3% float. This aligns with SpaceX's tech leadership, evidenced by Falcon 9's 99% reusability success rate across 300+ landings, Starship's orbital test flights, and Starlink's 6,000+ satellites in low-Earth orbit supporting global broadband. NASA Artemis contracts and crewed Dragon missions reinforce its high-growth profile. Realistic shifts could arise from NYSE negotiations for S&P 500 priority or SEC review delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트나스닥 95%
기타 5.3%
뉴욕증권거래소 <1%
$91,322 거래량
$91,322 거래량
나스닥
95%
기타
5%
뉴욕증권거래소
<1%
나스닥 95%
기타 5.3%
뉴욕증권거래소 <1%
$91,322 거래량
$91,322 거래량
나스닥
$16,927 거래량
95%
기타
$57,168 거래량
5%
뉴욕증권거래소
$17,227 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 95% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, driven by the company's reported preference for the exchange's new rule enabling megacap IPOs like its own—targeting a June 2026 debut following the April 1 confidential S-1 filing—to enter the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 days of a minimal 3% float. This aligns with SpaceX's tech leadership, evidenced by Falcon 9's 99% reusability success rate across 300+ landings, Starship's orbital test flights, and Starlink's 6,000+ satellites in low-Earth orbit supporting global broadband. NASA Artemis contracts and crewed Dragon missions reinforce its high-growth profile. Realistic shifts could arise from NYSE negotiations for S&P 500 priority or SEC review delays.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
거래량
$91,322마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies a 95% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, driven by the company's reported preference for the exchange's new rule enabling megacap IPOs like its own—targeting a June 2026 debut following the April 1 confidential S-1 filing—to enter the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 days of a minimal 3% float. This aligns with SpaceX's tech leadership, evidenced by Falcon 9's 99% reusability success rate across 300+ landings, Starship's orbital test flights, and Starlink's 6,000+ satellites in low-Earth orbit supporting global broadband. NASA Artemis contracts and crewed Dragon missions reinforce its high-growth profile. Realistic shifts could arise from NYSE negotiations for S&P 500 priority or SEC review delays.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$91,322마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies a 95% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, driven by the company's reported preference for the exchange's new rule enabling megacap IPOs like its own—targeting a June 2026 debut following the April 1 confidential S-1 filing—to enter the Nasdaq-100 index within 15 days of a minimal 3% float. This aligns with SpaceX's tech leadership, evidenced by Falcon 9's 99% reusability success rate across 300+ landings, Starship's orbital test flights, and Starlink's 6,000+ satellites in low-Earth orbit supporting global broadband. NASA Artemis contracts and crewed Dragon missions reinforce its high-growth profile. Realistic shifts could arise from NYSE negotiations for S&P 500 priority or SEC review delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문