Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market remains fragmented with low implied probabilities—Microsoft at 14%, Walmart at 10%, Amazon at 8%—reflecting uncertainty following ByteDance's January 2026 restructuring of U.S. operations into the TikTok USDS Joint Venture. This $14 billion deal granted majority control (over 80%) to American investors including Oracle (Larry Ellison), Silver Lake, and MGX, while ByteDance retained a 19.9% stake and algorithm licensing rights, averting a nationwide ban but failing to trigger resolution as a single-entity acquisition announcement. March reports of a controversial $10 billion Trump administration fee sparked investor lawsuits, dampening momentum. Watch for further buyout bids amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny, with resolution by June 30, 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,018,525 거래량
2026.12.31
마이크로소프트
10%
월마트
9%
아마존
7%
AppLovin
5%
메타
4%
일론 머스크 / X(트위터)
3%
$1,018,525 거래량
마이크로소프트
$100,995 거래량
10%
월마트
$63,492 거래량
9%
아마존
$64,869 거래량
7%
AppLovin
$34,583 거래량
5%
메타
$112,325 거래량
4%
일론 머스크 / X(트위터)
$77,151 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market remains fragmented with low implied probabilities—Microsoft at 14%, Walmart at 10%, Amazon at 8%—reflecting uncertainty following ByteDance's January 2026 restructuring of U.S. operations into the TikTok USDS Joint Venture. This $14 billion deal granted majority control (over 80%) to American investors including Oracle (Larry Ellison), Silver Lake, and MGX, while ByteDance retained a 19.9% stake and algorithm licensing rights, averting a nationwide ban but failing to trigger resolution as a single-entity acquisition announcement. March reports of a controversial $10 billion Trump administration fee sparked investor lawsuits, dampening momentum. Watch for further buyout bids amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny, with resolution by June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
마켓 개설일: Sep 15, 2025, 11:51 PM ET
거래량
$1,018,525종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, byJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market remains fragmented with low implied probabilities—Microsoft at 14%, Walmart at 10%, Amazon at 8%—reflecting uncertainty following ByteDance's January 2026 restructuring of U.S. operations into the TikTok USDS Joint Venture. This $14 billion deal granted majority control (over 80%) to American investors including Oracle (Larry Ellison), Silver Lake, and MGX, while ByteDance retained a 19.9% stake and algorithm licensing rights, averting a nationwide ban but failing to trigger resolution as a single-entity acquisition announcement. March reports of a controversial $10 billion Trump administration fee sparked investor lawsuits, dampening momentum. Watch for further buyout bids amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny, with resolution by June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use
거래량
$1,018,525종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Sep 15, 2025, 11:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's "Who will acquire TikTok?" market remains fragmented with low implied probabilities—Microsoft at 14%, Walmart at 10%, Amazon at 8%—reflecting uncertainty following ByteDance's January 2026 restructuring of U.S. operations into the TikTok USDS Joint Venture. This $14 billion deal granted majority control (over 80%) to American investors including Oracle (Larry Ellison), Silver Lake, and MGX, while ByteDance retained a 19.9% stake and algorithm licensing rights, averting a nationwide ban but failing to trigger resolution as a single-entity acquisition announcement. March reports of a controversial $10 billion Trump administration fee sparked investor lawsuits, dampening momentum. Watch for further buyout bids amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny, with resolution by June 30, 2026.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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