Trader consensus heavily favors None at 87.5% implied probability for a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's rarity—no men's player has achieved it in the Open Era since Rod Laver in 1969—amid diverse surfaces, physical toll, and elite competition. Carlos Alcaraz's Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic, completing his career Grand Slam at age 22, fueled early hype and his 10.9% share, bolstered by Doha and Monte Carlo runner-up finishes despite a Miami upset loss to Sebastian Korda. However, Jannik Sinner's recent Monte Carlo title reclaiming ATP No. 1 underscores rivalry threats on clay ahead of Alcaraz's French Open defense. Upset potential lies in Alcaraz navigating injury-free deep runs at Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open against surging challengers like Sinner, Alexander Zverev, and Djokovic.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$239,905 거래량
$239,905 거래량
없음
90%
카를로스 알카라스
11%
$239,905 거래량
$239,905 거래량
없음
90%
카를로스 알카라스
11%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors None at 87.5% implied probability for a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's rarity—no men's player has achieved it in the Open Era since Rod Laver in 1969—amid diverse surfaces, physical toll, and elite competition. Carlos Alcaraz's Australian Open triumph over Novak Djokovic, completing his career Grand Slam at age 22, fueled early hype and his 10.9% share, bolstered by Doha and Monte Carlo runner-up finishes despite a Miami upset loss to Sebastian Korda. However, Jannik Sinner's recent Monte Carlo title reclaiming ATP No. 1 underscores rivalry threats on clay ahead of Alcaraz's French Open defense. Upset potential lies in Alcaraz navigating injury-free deep runs at Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open against surging challengers like Sinner, Alexander Zverev, and Djokovic.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문