Trader consensus prices "None" at an 89.5% implied probability for a men's calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's extreme rarity—last achieved by Rod Laver in 1969—amid grueling surface transitions from Australian Open hard courts to Roland Garros clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hard courts, plus injury risks and rising challengers like Jannik Sinner. Carlos Alcaraz's 10.9% share stems from his Australian Open 2026 title over Novak Djokovic, completing his career Grand Slam as the youngest ever, bolstered by a strong clay swing including a Monte Carlo deep run versus Sinner. Upset potential hinges on Alcaraz navigating an injury-free Roland Garros-Wimbledon double without fatigue, leveraging his world No. 1 versatility against peaking rivals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$239,905 거래량
$239,905 거래량
없음
90%
카를로스 알카라스
11%
$239,905 거래량
$239,905 거래량
없음
90%
카를로스 알카라스
11%
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices "None" at an 89.5% implied probability for a men's calendar Grand Slam in 2026, underscoring the feat's extreme rarity—last achieved by Rod Laver in 1969—amid grueling surface transitions from Australian Open hard courts to Roland Garros clay, Wimbledon grass, and US Open hard courts, plus injury risks and rising challengers like Jannik Sinner. Carlos Alcaraz's 10.9% share stems from his Australian Open 2026 title over Novak Djokovic, completing his career Grand Slam as the youngest ever, bolstered by a strong clay swing including a Monte Carlo deep run versus Sinner. Upset potential hinges on Alcaraz navigating an injury-free Roland Garros-Wimbledon double without fatigue, leveraging his world No. 1 versatility against peaking rivals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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