Traders overwhelmingly back "None" at 97.4% implied probability for a women's calendar Grand Slam in 2026—the last by Steffi Graf in 1988—given the grueling sequence across hardcourt (Australian Open), clay (French Open), grass (Wimbledon), and hardcourt (US Open), with upsets, injuries, and fatigue commonplace. Elena Rybakina holds the slim 2.5% share after defeating Aryna Sabalenka 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 to claim the 2026 Australian Open title, her second major, propelling her to WTA No. 2 as of April 13 amid strong form including an Indian Wells final. With the Australian Open complete, only Rybakina remains eligible; her path hinges on conquering clay at the upcoming French Open—historically her weakest surface—then defending grass prowess at Wimbledon and prevailing at the US Open, scenarios upended by rivals like No. 1 Sabalenka, Coco Gauff, or Iga Świątek, plus withdrawals or weather delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,565,893 거래량
$1,565,893 거래량
없음
97%
엘레나 리바키나
3%
$1,565,893 거래량
$1,565,893 거래량
없음
97%
엘레나 리바키나
3%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders overwhelmingly back "None" at 97.4% implied probability for a women's calendar Grand Slam in 2026—the last by Steffi Graf in 1988—given the grueling sequence across hardcourt (Australian Open), clay (French Open), grass (Wimbledon), and hardcourt (US Open), with upsets, injuries, and fatigue commonplace. Elena Rybakina holds the slim 2.5% share after defeating Aryna Sabalenka 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 to claim the 2026 Australian Open title, her second major, propelling her to WTA No. 2 as of April 13 amid strong form including an Indian Wells final. With the Australian Open complete, only Rybakina remains eligible; her path hinges on conquering clay at the upcoming French Open—historically her weakest surface—then defending grass prowess at Wimbledon and prevailing at the US Open, scenarios upended by rivals like No. 1 Sabalenka, Coco Gauff, or Iga Świątek, plus withdrawals or weather delays.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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