Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "None" at 97.4% for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—no player has achieved it in the Open Era since Steffi Graf in 1988—demanding victories across hardcourt (Australian Open, US Open), clay (French Open), and grass (Wimbledon) amid intense competition and injury risks. Elena Rybakina's 2.5% implied probability stems from her Australian Open 2026 title win over Aryna Sabalenka on January 31, propelling her to WTA No. 2 with 8,108 points as of April 13, and her strong hardcourt form including an Indian Wells final. However, her clay limitations, Sabalenka's No. 1 ranking and Miami defense, and Iga Swiatek's Roland Garros dominance pose massive barriers; a challenge would require Rybakina's injury-free mastery of upcoming surfaces and deep runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$1,565,907 거래량
$1,565,907 거래량
없음
97%
엘레나 리바키나
3%
$1,565,907 거래량
$1,565,907 거래량
없음
97%
엘레나 리바키나
3%
This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market resolves to the single woman player who wins the Women's Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Women's Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for any listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Sabalenka wins the 2026 Australian Open but loses in the first round of 2026 French Open) this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Women' Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "None" at 97.4% for a women's Calendar Grand Slam in 2026, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—no player has achieved it in the Open Era since Steffi Graf in 1988—demanding victories across hardcourt (Australian Open, US Open), clay (French Open), and grass (Wimbledon) amid intense competition and injury risks. Elena Rybakina's 2.5% implied probability stems from her Australian Open 2026 title win over Aryna Sabalenka on January 31, propelling her to WTA No. 2 with 8,108 points as of April 13, and her strong hardcourt form including an Indian Wells final. However, her clay limitations, Sabalenka's No. 1 ranking and Miami defense, and Iga Swiatek's Roland Garros dominance pose massive barriers; a challenge would require Rybakina's injury-free mastery of upcoming surfaces and deep runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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