Trader consensus prices a 69% implied probability on Democrats winning all four core Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing Democratic candidates leading or competitive across the board. In Georgia, incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a 3-8 point edge over the GOP field in Emerson College surveys updated this week. Michigan's open seat features Rep. Haley Stevens and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow ahead of former Rep. Mike Rogers by 3-5 points in Emerson polling. North Carolina polls have Democrat Roy Cooper up 49-41 on Republican Michael Whatley per Harper (late March). Maine pits challengers like Gov. Janet Mills against vulnerable incumbent Susan Collins, with mixed results favoring Dems in several Emerson and UNH surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party amid GOP Senate control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
신규
신규
2026.11.03
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus prices a 69% implied probability on Democrats winning all four core Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing Democratic candidates leading or competitive across the board. In Georgia, incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a 3-8 point edge over the GOP field in Emerson College surveys updated this week. Michigan's open seat features Rep. Haley Stevens and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow ahead of former Rep. Mike Rogers by 3-5 points in Emerson polling. North Carolina polls have Democrat Roy Cooper up 49-41 on Republican Michael Whatley per Harper (late March). Maine pits challengers like Gov. Janet Mills against vulnerable incumbent Susan Collins, with mixed results favoring Dems in several Emerson and UNH surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party amid GOP Senate control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
거래량
$3,226종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus prices a 69% implied probability on Democrats winning all four core Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing Democratic candidates leading or competitive across the board. In Georgia, incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a 3-8 point edge over the GOP field in Emerson College surveys updated this week. Michigan's open seat features Rep. Haley Stevens and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow ahead of former Rep. Mike Rogers by 3-5 points in Emerson polling. North Carolina polls have Democrat Roy Cooper up 49-41 on Republican Michael Whatley per Harper (late March). Maine pits challengers like Gov. Janet Mills against vulnerable incumbent Susan Collins, with mixed results favoring Dems in several Emerson and UNH surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party amid GOP Senate control.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
거래량
$3,226종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 69% implied probability on Democrats winning all four core Senate races—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—in the 2026 midterms, driven by recent polls showing Democratic candidates leading or competitive across the board. In Georgia, incumbent Jon Ossoff holds a 3-8 point edge over the GOP field in Emerson College surveys updated this week. Michigan's open seat features Rep. Haley Stevens and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow ahead of former Rep. Mike Rogers by 3-5 points in Emerson polling. North Carolina polls have Democrat Roy Cooper up 49-41 on Republican Michael Whatley per Harper (late March). Maine pits challengers like Gov. Janet Mills against vulnerable incumbent Susan Collins, with mixed results favoring Dems in several Emerson and UNH surveys. Midterm dynamics historically disadvantage the president's party amid GOP Senate control.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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