**Trader consensus prices a 96% implied probability against Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, driven by the complete lack of official Knesset legislation, government declarations, or policy announcements committing to formal sovereignty over any Gaza land.** Recent IDF expansions of security buffer zones, as reported on April 14, aim to counter Hamas remnants and protect Israeli territory through military occupation rather than annexation, mirroring tactics in southern Lebanon. Netanyahu's public statements prioritize Gaza demilitarization and hostage returns without sovereignty pledges, contrasting February's West Bank land registration measures condemned internationally. With just over two months to resolution and no scheduled votes or summits, barriers remain high; realistic shifts could stem from total Hamas defeat, coalition realignment favoring far-right ministers, or abrupt U.S. diplomatic support altering escalation dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$85,864 거래량
$85,864 거래량
2026.06.30
예
$85,864 거래량
$85,864 거래량
2026.06.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus prices a 96% implied probability against Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, driven by the complete lack of official Knesset legislation, government declarations, or policy announcements committing to formal sovereignty over any Gaza land.** Recent IDF expansions of security buffer zones, as reported on April 14, aim to counter Hamas remnants and protect Israeli territory through military occupation rather than annexation, mirroring tactics in southern Lebanon. Netanyahu's public statements prioritize Gaza demilitarization and hostage returns without sovereignty pledges, contrasting February's West Bank land registration measures condemned internationally. With just over two months to resolution and no scheduled votes or summits, barriers remain high; realistic shifts could stem from total Hamas defeat, coalition realignment favoring far-right ministers, or abrupt U.S. diplomatic support altering escalation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
거래량
$85,864종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus prices a 96% implied probability against Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, driven by the complete lack of official Knesset legislation, government declarations, or policy announcements committing to formal sovereignty over any Gaza land.** Recent IDF expansions of security buffer zones, as reported on April 14, aim to counter Hamas remnants and protect Israeli territory through military occupation rather than annexation, mirroring tactics in southern Lebanon. Netanyahu's public statements prioritize Gaza demilitarization and hostage returns without sovereignty pledges, contrasting February's West Bank land registration measures condemned internationally. With just over two months to resolution and no scheduled votes or summits, barriers remain high; realistic shifts could stem from total Hamas defeat, coalition realignment favoring far-right ministers, or abrupt U.S. diplomatic support altering escalation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$85,864종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus prices a 96% implied probability against Israel annexing Gaza territory by June 30, driven by the complete lack of official Knesset legislation, government declarations, or policy announcements committing to formal sovereignty over any Gaza land.** Recent IDF expansions of security buffer zones, as reported on April 14, aim to counter Hamas remnants and protect Israeli territory through military occupation rather than annexation, mirroring tactics in southern Lebanon. Netanyahu's public statements prioritize Gaza demilitarization and hostage returns without sovereignty pledges, contrasting February's West Bank land registration measures condemned internationally. With just over two months to resolution and no scheduled votes or summits, barriers remain high; realistic shifts could stem from total Hamas defeat, coalition realignment favoring far-right ministers, or abrupt U.S. diplomatic support altering escalation dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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