Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 97.1% odds against Pam Bondi being held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by her recent no-show for a subpoenaed House Oversight deposition on April 14 regarding Jeffrey Epstein files, met only with Democratic threats rather than action. The Department of Justice invalidated the subpoena post-Bondi's ouster as attorney general, citing it targeted her official capacity, and historical precedents—like unprosecuted referrals for Eric Holder—show executive reluctance to pursue former officials amid partisan divides. With two weeks left, bipartisan momentum for a contempt vote remains absent, as Republican-led committees prioritize other probes. Realistic upsets include a surprise House floor vote or rare inherent contempt enforcement, though traders see slim odds amid escalating political theater.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,045 거래량
$11,045 거래량
2026.04.30
$11,045 거래량
$11,045 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 97.1% odds against Pam Bondi being held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by her recent no-show for a subpoenaed House Oversight deposition on April 14 regarding Jeffrey Epstein files, met only with Democratic threats rather than action. The Department of Justice invalidated the subpoena post-Bondi's ouster as attorney general, citing it targeted her official capacity, and historical precedents—like unprosecuted referrals for Eric Holder—show executive reluctance to pursue former officials amid partisan divides. With two weeks left, bipartisan momentum for a contempt vote remains absent, as Republican-led committees prioritize other probes. Realistic upsets include a surprise House floor vote or rare inherent contempt enforcement, though traders see slim odds amid escalating political theater.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$11,045종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 97.1% odds against Pam Bondi being held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by her recent no-show for a subpoenaed House Oversight deposition on April 14 regarding Jeffrey Epstein files, met only with Democratic threats rather than action. The Department of Justice invalidated the subpoena post-Bondi's ouster as attorney general, citing it targeted her official capacity, and historical precedents—like unprosecuted referrals for Eric Holder—show executive reluctance to pursue former officials amid partisan divides. With two weeks left, bipartisan momentum for a contempt vote remains absent, as Republican-led committees prioritize other probes. Realistic upsets include a surprise House floor vote or rare inherent contempt enforcement, though traders see slim odds amid escalating political theater.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is held in contempt of Congress by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pam Bondi will be considered to be held in contempt of Congress once a full chamber vote of the House of Representatives or Senate votes to approve a resolution (or other measure) holding her in contempt of Congress. A qualifying vote within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of any subsequent appeals or challenges it may face or whether or not the Department of Justice prosecutes the matter.
The approval of a contempt of Congress resolution by the full chamber of the House of Representatives or Senate without a vote (e.g. approval through unanimous consent) will count.
Committee votes or other procedural steps prior to a full senate or house vote on a contempt of Congress resolution will not count.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from the United States Congress; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$11,045종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 8, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain 97.1% odds against Pam Bondi being held in contempt of Congress by April 30, driven by her recent no-show for a subpoenaed House Oversight deposition on April 14 regarding Jeffrey Epstein files, met only with Democratic threats rather than action. The Department of Justice invalidated the subpoena post-Bondi's ouster as attorney general, citing it targeted her official capacity, and historical precedents—like unprosecuted referrals for Eric Holder—show executive reluctance to pursue former officials amid partisan divides. With two weeks left, bipartisan momentum for a contempt vote remains absent, as Republican-led committees prioritize other probes. Realistic upsets include a surprise House floor vote or rare inherent contempt enforcement, though traders see slim odds amid escalating political theater.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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