Valve's deliberate pace on CS2 map rotations continues to shape trader consensus around a low implied probability for Cobblestone's return to the Active Duty pool by August 30. Leaked winter-themed files have existed since launch, yet Valve prioritized Cache integration first, with community trackers and recent Premier Season updates pointing to Cobblestone arriving no earlier than Q4 2026 or later. The most recent rotation in January 2026 swapped Train for Anubis without touching classic maps, consistent with Valve's pattern of infrequent, data-driven changes tied to seasonal cycles rather than rapid fan demand. No official timeline or testing signals have emerged in the past six months to accelerate a summer addition, leaving the outcome dependent on Valve's internal priorities amid ongoing balance work.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,193 거래량
August 30
9%
June 30
2%
$14,193 거래량
August 30
9%
June 30
2%
If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to "No", even if the addition was announced earlier.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, the "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to "No", even if the addition was announced earlier.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, the "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Valve's deliberate pace on CS2 map rotations continues to shape trader consensus around a low implied probability for Cobblestone's return to the Active Duty pool by August 30. Leaked winter-themed files have existed since launch, yet Valve prioritized Cache integration first, with community trackers and recent Premier Season updates pointing to Cobblestone arriving no earlier than Q4 2026 or later. The most recent rotation in January 2026 swapped Train for Anubis without touching classic maps, consistent with Valve's pattern of infrequent, data-driven changes tied to seasonal cycles rather than rapid fan demand. No official timeline or testing signals have emerged in the past six months to accelerate a summer addition, leaving the outcome dependent on Valve's internal priorities amid ongoing balance work.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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