Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJannik Sinner 50%
Carlos Alcaraz 20%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,542,297 Wol.
$4,542,297 Wol.
Jannik Sinner
50%
Carlos Alcaraz
20%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Jakub Mensik
3%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Andriej Rublow
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Grigor Dimitrow
<1%
Jannik Sinner 50%
Carlos Alcaraz 20%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,542,297 Wol.
$4,542,297 Wol.
Jannik Sinner
50%
Carlos Alcaraz
20%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Jakub Mensik
3%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Andriej Rublow
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Grigor Dimitrow
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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