Skip to main content
icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Wybory·House Primary

CA-06 Primary Winners

icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Wybory·House Primary

CA-06 Primary Winners

$6,507 Wol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$6,507 Wol.

Polymarket

Richard Pan

$459 Wol.

99%

Kevin Kiley

$717 Wol.

97%

Thien Ho

$1,506 Wol.

1%

Tyler Vandenberg

$799 Wol.

1%

Martha Guerrero

$614 Wol.

1%

Lauren Babb Tomlinson

$1,014 Wol.

1%

Michael Stansfield

$1,400 Wol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent after switching districts and party registration following redistricting, leads early returns in the June 2 California nonpartisan primary for the 6th congressional district, with Republican Michael Stansfield holding an unexpected second place ahead of Democrat Richard Pan.** A crowded field of Democratic candidates, including Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, has fragmented support in the Sacramento-area seat previously held by Ami Bera. Stansfield, a low-profile contender with minimal campaign resources, benefited from this split while Kiley consolidated backing in the redrawn district. Thousands of ballots remain outstanding, and later-counted votes—often more Democratic-leaning—could shift final top-two placements that advance to the November general election. No other major developments have altered the race since primary day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$6,507
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Kevin Kiley, now running as an independent after switching districts and party registration following redistricting, leads early returns in the June 2 California nonpartisan primary for the 6th congressional district, with Republican Michael Stansfield holding an unexpected second place ahead of Democrat Richard Pan.** A crowded field of Democratic candidates, including Pan, Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero, has fragmented support in the Sacramento-area seat previously held by Ami Bera. Stansfield, a low-profile contender with minimal campaign resources, benefited from this split while Kiley consolidated backing in the redrawn district. Thousands of ballots remain outstanding, and later-counted votes—often more Democratic-leaning—could shift final top-two placements that advance to the November general election. No other major developments have altered the race since primary day.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$6,507
Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"CA-06 Primary Winners" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Richard Pan" z 99%, za nim "Kevin Kiley" z 97%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 99¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 99% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"CA-06 Primary Winners" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Apr 22, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "CA-06 Primary Winners", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "CA-06 Primary Winners" jest "Richard Pan" z 99%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 99% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Kevin Kiley" z 97%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "CA-06 Primary Winners" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.