Crude oil prices, with WTI trading near $84 per barrel and Brent around $89 as of mid-August 2026, remain well below the $147 all-time high set in July 2008. Recent gains stem primarily from ongoing disruptions to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions, which have reduced flows by several million barrels per day and supported elevated benchmarks. EIA forecasts place Brent averaging $85 per barrel in Q3 2026 before easing toward $69 in 2027 as inventories rebuild and production recovers. Market-implied odds reflect these supply risks balanced against softening global demand, high U.S. output, and expectations of normalized trade flows, keeping near-term probabilities of surpassing the 2008 peak low despite volatility in futures curves. Key upcoming catalysts include further Hormuz transit data and any diplomatic resolutions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCrude Oil all time high by...?
$2,490,846 Wol.
September 30
4%
December 31
13%
$2,490,846 Wol.
September 30
4%
December 31
13%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Crude oil prices, with WTI trading near $84 per barrel and Brent around $89 as of mid-August 2026, remain well below the $147 all-time high set in July 2008. Recent gains stem primarily from ongoing disruptions to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Iran tensions, which have reduced flows by several million barrels per day and supported elevated benchmarks. EIA forecasts place Brent averaging $85 per barrel in Q3 2026 before easing toward $69 in 2027 as inventories rebuild and production recovers. Market-implied odds reflect these supply risks balanced against softening global demand, high U.S. output, and expectations of normalized trade flows, keeping near-term probabilities of surpassing the 2008 peak low despite volatility in futures curves. Key upcoming catalysts include further Hormuz transit data and any diplomatic resolutions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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