US citizenship revocation remains rare under longstanding federal law and requires specific statutory grounds such as fraud in naturalization proceedings, certain serious criminal convictions, or formal voluntary renunciation—none of which have been credibly alleged or evidenced against Eileen Gu. Born in the United States, she holds birthright citizenship; reports indicate she obtained Chinese nationality around 2019 to compete for China, yet no IRS expatriation record or official US action has followed despite public scrutiny during the 2026 Winter Olympics. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” by the December 31, 2026 resolution date reflects the absence of any government investigation, policy shift, or diplomatic trigger in the past year. Realistic scenarios that could still alter the outcome include newly documented evidence of naturalization irregularities, a targeted legislative or executive change in dual-nationality enforcement, or court rulings expanding revocation authority before year-end.