Turkey's gritty 1-0 playoff victory over Kosovo on March 31 secured their spot in Group D—ending a 24-year World Cup absence—and propelled trader consensus to price them as slight favorites at 40.5% implied probability to win the group, edging USA's 38.5%. The USMNT, ranked 16th globally, holds co-host home advantage across matches but stumbled in a recent March friendly loss to Belgium, while a prior 2-1 defeat to Turkey underscores matchup concerns. Paraguay (17%) leverages CONMEBOL grit despite 40th ranking, and Australia (7th at 27th) lags with weaker recent form, keeping the race for top-two advancement—and potential third-place progression—fiercely contested among evenly matched contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFIFA World Cup Group D Winner
FIFA World Cup Group D Winner
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 41%
USA 39%
Paraguay 17%
Australia 7.0%
$28,553 Wol.
$28,553 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
41%
USA
39%
Paraguay
17%
Australia
7%
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR 41%
USA 39%
Paraguay 17%
Australia 7.0%
$28,553 Wol.
$28,553 Wol.
Jun 27, 2026
KOS/ROU/SVK/TUR
$7,936 Wol.
41%
USA
$9,261 Wol.
39%
Paraguay
$7,188 Wol.
17%
Australia
$4,167 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's gritty 1-0 playoff victory over Kosovo on March 31 secured their spot in Group D—ending a 24-year World Cup absence—and propelled trader consensus to price them as slight favorites at 40.5% implied probability to win the group, edging USA's 38.5%. The USMNT, ranked 16th globally, holds co-host home advantage across matches but stumbled in a recent March friendly loss to Belgium, while a prior 2-1 defeat to Turkey underscores matchup concerns. Paraguay (17%) leverages CONMEBOL grit despite 40th ranking, and Australia (7th at 27th) lags with weaker recent form, keeping the race for top-two advancement—and potential third-place progression—fiercely contested among evenly matched contenders.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,553Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey's gritty 1-0 playoff victory over Kosovo on March 31 secured their spot in Group D—ending a 24-year World Cup absence—and propelled trader consensus to price them as slight favorites at 40.5% implied probability to win the group, edging USA's 38.5%. The USMNT, ranked 16th globally, holds co-host home advantage across matches but stumbled in a recent March friendly loss to Belgium, while a prior 2-1 defeat to Turkey underscores matchup concerns. Paraguay (17%) leverages CONMEBOL grit despite 40th ranking, and Australia (7th at 27th) lags with weaker recent form, keeping the race for top-two advancement—and potential third-place progression—fiercely contested among evenly matched contenders.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$28,553Data zakończenia
Jun 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Turkey's gritty 1-0 playoff victory over Kosovo on March 31 secured their spot in Group D—ending a 24-year World Cup absence—and propelled trader consensus to price them as slight favorites at 40.5% implied probability to win the group, edging USA's 38.5%. The USMNT, ranked 16th globally, holds co-host home advantage across matches but stumbled in a recent March friendly loss to Belgium, while a prior 2-1 defeat to Turkey underscores matchup concerns. Paraguay (17%) leverages CONMEBOL grit despite 40th ranking, and Australia (7th at 27th) lags with weaker recent form, keeping the race for top-two advancement—and potential third-place progression—fiercely contested among evenly matched contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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