Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 99.7% implied probability for "No" on Joe Kent facing criminal charges by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any indictment, arrest, or official DOJ action following the FBI's mid-March probe into alleged classified leaks tied to his resignation from the National Counterterrorism Center over Iran war policy. Credible reports from outlets like The New York Times, Axios, and Reuters confirmed the investigation began pre-resignation but yielded no developments through the six-week window, underscoring the typically protracted pace of federal leak inquiries amid political tensions. With the deadline passed on May 1, realistic upsets are negligible—only an extraordinary retroactive claim of pre-30th charges could shift resolution, though traders dismiss this amid radio silence from prosecutors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$21,886 Wol.
$21,886 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
$21,886 Wol.
$21,886 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Joe Kent between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 99.7% implied probability for "No" on Joe Kent facing criminal charges by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any indictment, arrest, or official DOJ action following the FBI's mid-March probe into alleged classified leaks tied to his resignation from the National Counterterrorism Center over Iran war policy. Credible reports from outlets like The New York Times, Axios, and Reuters confirmed the investigation began pre-resignation but yielded no developments through the six-week window, underscoring the typically protracted pace of federal leak inquiries amid political tensions. With the deadline passed on May 1, realistic upsets are negligible—only an extraordinary retroactive claim of pre-30th charges could shift resolution, though traders dismiss this amid radio silence from prosecutors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Joe Kent between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 19, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,886Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 7:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Joe Kent between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 99.7% implied probability for "No" on Joe Kent facing criminal charges by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any indictment, arrest, or official DOJ action following the FBI's mid-March probe into alleged classified leaks tied to his resignation from the National Counterterrorism Center over Iran war policy. Credible reports from outlets like The New York Times, Axios, and Reuters confirmed the investigation began pre-resignation but yielded no developments through the six-week window, underscoring the typically protracted pace of federal leak inquiries amid political tensions. With the deadline passed on May 1, realistic upsets are negligible—only an extraordinary retroactive claim of pre-30th charges could shift resolution, though traders dismiss this amid radio silence from prosecutors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Joe Kent between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$21,886Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 7:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 99.7% implied probability for "No" on Joe Kent facing criminal charges by April 30, driven by the complete absence of any indictment, arrest, or official DOJ action following the FBI's mid-March probe into alleged classified leaks tied to his resignation from the National Counterterrorism Center over Iran war policy. Credible reports from outlets like The New York Times, Axios, and Reuters confirmed the investigation began pre-resignation but yielded no developments through the six-week window, underscoring the typically protracted pace of federal leak inquiries amid political tensions. With the deadline passed on May 1, realistic upsets are negligible—only an extraordinary retroactive claim of pre-30th charges could shift resolution, though traders dismiss this amid radio silence from prosecutors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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