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Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

icon for Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

3% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
3% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.North Korea leader Kim Jong Un has shown no signs of traveling to the United States in 2026, despite repeated expressions of interest from President Trump in resuming personal diplomacy. Pyongyang continues to condition any engagement on U.S. acceptance of its nuclear status and an end to what it calls hostile policies, including joint military exercises and sanctions pressure. Kim has instead prioritized summits and cooperation with China and Russia, including Xi Jinping’s June 2026 visit to Pyongyang. With only four months remaining in the year and no confirmed itinerary or preparatory signals, traders assign overwhelming probability to no visit occurring. A late diplomatic breakthrough leading to a U.S.-based meeting remains possible but would require rapid shifts in both sides’ positions and logistical arrangements that have not materialized.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$64
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.North Korea leader Kim Jong Un has shown no signs of traveling to the United States in 2026, despite repeated expressions of interest from President Trump in resuming personal diplomacy. Pyongyang continues to condition any engagement on U.S. acceptance of its nuclear status and an end to what it calls hostile policies, including joint military exercises and sanctions pressure. Kim has instead prioritized summits and cooperation with China and Russia, including Xi Jinping’s June 2026 visit to Pyongyang. With only four months remaining in the year and no confirmed itinerary or preparatory signals, traders assign overwhelming probability to no visit occurring. A late diplomatic breakthrough leading to a U.S.-based meeting remains possible but would require rapid shifts in both sides’ positions and logistical arrangements that have not materialized.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$64
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Supreme Leader of North Korea Kim Jong Un visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kim Jong Un physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Kim Jong Un enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For purposes of this market, territory of the United States excludes military bases or diplomatic compounds that are not otherwise within the sovereign territory of the United States. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US or North Korea, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 3% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 3¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 3% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

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Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?" to 3% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 3% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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