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icon for Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji
Świat·Wybory We Francji

Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji

icon for Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji
Świat·Wybory We Francji

Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji

Marine Le Pen 34.5%

Édouard Philippe 29%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 6.6%

Polymarket

$132,815,232 Wol.

Marine Le Pen 34.5%

Édouard Philippe 29%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12%

David Lisnard 6.6%

Polymarket

$132,815,232 Wol.

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,404,948 Wol.

35%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1,583,730 Wol.

29%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$1,432,830 Wol.

12%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,047,363 Wol.

7%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,755,272 Wol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,243,090 Wol.

3%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$2,257,666 Wol.

2%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$2,103,441 Wol.

2%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$1,714,694 Wol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$2,052,452 Wol.

1%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,863,578 Wol.

1%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$2,310,813 Wol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,669,690 Wol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$3,683,623 Wol.

<1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$2,086,433 Wol.

<1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$2,260,291 Wol.

<1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$4,175,089 Wol.

<1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$5,934,977 Wol.

<1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$3,643,342 Wol.

<1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$4,146,706 Wol.

<1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,682,464 Wol.

<1%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$856,219 Wol.

<1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,244,282 Wol.

<1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$5,722,895 Wol.

<1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$5,981,578 Wol.

<1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$5,755,656 Wol.

<1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$4,990,060 Wol.

<1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$4,731,111 Wol.

<1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$5,253,704 Wol.

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$4,066,879 Wol.

<1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,939,540 Wol.

<1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$5,446,116 Wol.

<1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$5,701,432 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,742,192 Wol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$2,337,313 Wol.

<1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$4,826,235 Wol.

<1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$6,420,666 Wol.

<1%

icon for Lucie Castets

Lucie Castets

$418,274 Wol.

<1%

icon for Yannick Jadot

Yannick Jadot

$750,449 Wol.

<1%

icon for François Baroin

François Baroin

$1,136,635 Wol.

<1%

icon for Marion Maréchal

Marion Maréchal

$441,505 Wol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34.5% after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction but lifted the five-year office ban, allowing her to declare candidacy for the April 2027 vote. This outcome has stabilized Rassemblement National support near 34% in first-round polling amid Macron-era fragmentation and low approval for the incumbent camp. Édouard Philippe trails at 28.5% by consolidating center and center-right voters as the primary alternative, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 11.5% on the left. Persistent splits among centrist, center-right, and left candidates, plus uncertainty over second-round consolidation against the National Rally, keep probabilities competitive. A left primary scheduled for October and any center-right coordination by year-end could narrow the field and shift implied probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$132,815,232
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Marine Le Pen leads trader pricing at 34.5% after a July 2026 appeals court ruling upheld her embezzlement conviction but lifted the five-year office ban, allowing her to declare candidacy for the April 2027 vote. This outcome has stabilized Rassemblement National support near 34% in first-round polling amid Macron-era fragmentation and low approval for the incumbent camp. Édouard Philippe trails at 28.5% by consolidating center and center-right voters as the primary alternative, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 11.5% on the left. Persistent splits among centrist, center-right, and left candidates, plus uncertainty over second-round consolidation against the National Rally, keep probabilities competitive. A left primary scheduled for October and any center-right coordination by year-end could narrow the field and shift implied probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$132,815,232
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x2F5e3684c...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 41+ możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Marine Le Pen" z 35%, za nim "Édouard Philippe" z 28%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 35¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 35% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" wygenerował $132.8 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 13, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji", przeglądaj 41+ dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" jest "Marine Le Pen" z 35%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 35% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Édouard Philippe" z 28%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.