The 55-touchdown single-season mark set by Peyton Manning in 2013 remains the NFL benchmark, with no passer exceeding 50 since Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady reached that total in shorter schedules. In the 17-game era, the highest output is Matthew Stafford’s 46 in 2025, followed by several 43-touchdown campaigns. Early 2026 results show quarterbacks such as Dak Prescott, Jared Goff, and Kirk Cousins on temporary paces near or above 50, yet historical patterns indicate sharp regression once defenses adjust, injuries accumulate, and offensive coordinators prioritize balance. League-wide passing volume and red-zone efficiency have not produced the sustained aerial volume needed to challenge the record, leaving the market’s 81.5% implied probability on “No” aligned with the rarity of such outlier production.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThe NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070be91...The NFL single-season passing touchdowns record is 55, set by Peyton Manning in 2013. Matching the record exactly will not be sufficient; a player must exceed 55 passing touchdowns for this market to resolve to "Yes". Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. A player's total is the total he records across all of his 2026-27 NFL regular season games, including games played for more than one team.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any player exceeded 55 passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070be91...The 55-touchdown single-season mark set by Peyton Manning in 2013 remains the NFL benchmark, with no passer exceeding 50 since Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady reached that total in shorter schedules. In the 17-game era, the highest output is Matthew Stafford’s 46 in 2025, followed by several 43-touchdown campaigns. Early 2026 results show quarterbacks such as Dak Prescott, Jared Goff, and Kirk Cousins on temporary paces near or above 50, yet historical patterns indicate sharp regression once defenses adjust, injuries accumulate, and offensive coordinators prioritize balance. League-wide passing volume and red-zone efficiency have not produced the sustained aerial volume needed to challenge the record, leaving the market’s 81.5% implied probability on “No” aligned with the rarity of such outlier production.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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