Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary, buoyed by his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition in the Memphis-based district, and establishment backing amid a closed primary system favoring incumbents. Challenger state Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has narrowed the gap per a March Data for Progress poll showing a 45%-44% tie, bolstered by a Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $374,000 that slightly outpaced Cohen's $342,000 and endorsements from progressive groups highlighting generational change—Cohen is 76, Pearson 31—in the majority-Black district. Community activist DeVante Hill trails at 4.4% with minimal resources. The August 6 primary remains closely contested, with turnout among key voting blocs pivotal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Steve Cohen 57%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 4.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
57%
Justin Pearson
39%
DeVante Hill
4%
Steve Cohen 57%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 4.2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
$4,679 Wol.
57%
Justin Pearson
$1,515 Wol.
39%
DeVante Hill
$393 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary, buoyed by his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition in the Memphis-based district, and establishment backing amid a closed primary system favoring incumbents. Challenger state Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has narrowed the gap per a March Data for Progress poll showing a 45%-44% tie, bolstered by a Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $374,000 that slightly outpaced Cohen's $342,000 and endorsements from progressive groups highlighting generational change—Cohen is 76, Pearson 31—in the majority-Black district. Community activist DeVante Hill trails at 4.4% with minimal resources. The August 6 primary remains closely contested, with turnout among key voting blocs pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,588Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary, buoyed by his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition in the Memphis-based district, and establishment backing amid a closed primary system favoring incumbents. Challenger state Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has narrowed the gap per a March Data for Progress poll showing a 45%-44% tie, bolstered by a Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $374,000 that slightly outpaced Cohen's $342,000 and endorsements from progressive groups highlighting generational change—Cohen is 76, Pearson 31—in the majority-Black district. Community activist DeVante Hill trails at 4.4% with minimal resources. The August 6 primary remains closely contested, with turnout among key voting blocs pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$6,588Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary, buoyed by his long tenure since 2007, strong name recognition in the Memphis-based district, and establishment backing amid a closed primary system favoring incumbents. Challenger state Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has narrowed the gap per a March Data for Progress poll showing a 45%-44% tie, bolstered by a Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $374,000 that slightly outpaced Cohen's $342,000 and endorsements from progressive groups highlighting generational change—Cohen is 76, Pearson 31—in the majority-Black district. Community activist DeVante Hill trails at 4.4% with minimal resources. The August 6 primary remains closely contested, with turnout among key voting blocs pivotal.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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