The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrzywódca Wenezueli koniec 2026 roku?
Przywódca Wenezueli koniec 2026 roku?
Nicolás Maduro 84.3%
Delcy Rodríguez 13%
María Corina Machado 1.1%
Brak głowy państwa 1.1%
$96,068,305 Wol.
$96,068,305 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
13%
María Corina Machado
1%
Brak głowy państwa
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 84.3%
Delcy Rodríguez 13%
María Corina Machado 1.1%
Brak głowy państwa 1.1%
$96,068,305 Wol.
$96,068,305 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,848,834 Wol.
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,789,114 Wol.
13%
María Corina Machado
$1,460,769 Wol.
1%
Brak głowy państwa
$1,516,786 Wol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,230,881 Wol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,091,134 Wol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$820,782 Wol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,167,753 Wol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,990,775 Wol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,139,087 Wol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,417,320 Wol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,193,839 Wol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,651,178 Wol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,815,110 Wol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,144,292 Wol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,790,723 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$96,068,305Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Wolumen
$96,068,305Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The January 2026 US capture of Nicolás Maduro and transfer of interim authority to Delcy Rodríguez under Supreme Court order remains the dominant factor shaping trader views for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of 2026. Rodríguez has consolidated cabinet and military positions while advancing oil-sector openings and sanctions relief in coordination with the Trump administration, including revenue-sharing arrangements, yet no presidential elections or formal succession have been scheduled despite ongoing US-backed talks with opposition representatives. June 2026 earthquakes further delayed institutional reforms and prisoner releases without altering the interim framework. These elements of continuity within chavista institutions, combined with the narrow remaining timeline and absence of a decisive electoral or constitutional trigger, underpin the strong market weighting toward Maduro alongside Rodríguez’s secondary but notable position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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