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Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

icon for Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

52% szansa
Polymarket

$12,038 Wol.

52% szansa
Polymarket

$12,038 Wol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened July 6, 2026, after her second House impeachment on four articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, graft, and threats against President Marcos and allies, remains closely balanced around the 16-vote conviction threshold out of 24 senators. Duterte-aligned blocs retain influence despite detentions of senators such as Jinggoy Estrada and Rodante Marcoleta, while prosecution presentations of tax records, bank transactions, and witness testimony on threats have sustained momentum. The Supreme Court’s August 2026 rulings affirmed Senate jurisdiction and dismissed procedural challenges, leaving outcomes dependent on senator alignments, further evidence on financial disclosures, cross-examination results, and any shifts in bloc loyalties during the extended proceedings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$12,038
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, which opened July 6, 2026, after her second House impeachment on four articles alleging misuse of confidential funds, unexplained wealth, graft, and threats against President Marcos and allies, remains closely balanced around the 16-vote conviction threshold out of 24 senators. Duterte-aligned blocs retain influence despite detentions of senators such as Jinggoy Estrada and Rodante Marcoleta, while prosecution presentations of tax records, bank transactions, and witness testimony on threats have sustained momentum. The Supreme Court’s August 2026 rulings affirmed Senate jurisdiction and dismissed procedural challenges, leaving outcomes dependent on senator alignments, further evidence on financial disclosures, cross-examination results, and any shifts in bloc loyalties during the extended proceedings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$12,038
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 52% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 52¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 52% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?" wygenerował $12K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 21, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?" to 52% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 52% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

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