USD/JPY trades near 160.2 amid expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise its policy rate to 1% at its June meeting, narrowing the yield gap versus the Federal Reserve. Persistent U.S. rate advantages and structural dollar demand have capped yen appreciation, while recent intervention signals and record short-yen positioning add volatility around the 160 handle. Bank forecasts for year-end 2026 range from 150 to 164, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of BOJ normalization versus potential Fed easing. Key near-term catalysts include the BOJ decision, U.S. inflation releases, and any further Ministry of Finance intervention, all of which directly influence implied probabilities for tests of 165 or higher this year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$32,229 Wol.
↑200
11%
↑190
12%
↑180
15%
↑175
16%
↑170
28%
↑165
50%
↓150
68%
↓140
24%
↓130
17%
↓120
16%
↓110
15%
$32,229 Wol.
↑200
11%
↑190
12%
↑180
15%
↑175
16%
↑170
28%
↑165
50%
↓150
68%
↓140
24%
↓130
17%
↓120
16%
↓110
15%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...USD/JPY trades near 160.2 amid expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise its policy rate to 1% at its June meeting, narrowing the yield gap versus the Federal Reserve. Persistent U.S. rate advantages and structural dollar demand have capped yen appreciation, while recent intervention signals and record short-yen positioning add volatility around the 160 handle. Bank forecasts for year-end 2026 range from 150 to 164, reflecting uncertainty over the pace of BOJ normalization versus potential Fed easing. Key near-term catalysts include the BOJ decision, U.S. inflation releases, and any further Ministry of Finance intervention, all of which directly influence implied probabilities for tests of 165 or higher this year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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