Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 82% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by its explosive growth trajectory since late February 2026, when the AI assistant app briefly dethroned ChatGPT from the top position amid tripled downloads between February and March. Currently ranking #2 or #3 behind ChatGPT (#1) and tax-season frontrunner TurboTax, Claude's sustained momentum from enhanced capabilities—like advanced coding, research, and workflow automation—has fueled viral adoption, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini (7%) and Meta AI (5.5%). ChatGPT holds a solid 13.5% chance of displacing it via daily ranking volatility, with TurboTax fading post-tax deadlines; resolution hinges on overnight download surges typical in the competitive AI app ecosystem.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Claude by Anthropic 91%
ChatGPT 21%
Google Gemini 21%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 21%

Claude by Anthropic
82%

ChatGPT
21%

Google Gemini
21%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
21%

Netflix Game Controller
21%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
3%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
Claude by Anthropic 91%
ChatGPT 21%
Google Gemini 21%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 21%

Claude by Anthropic
82%

ChatGPT
21%

Google Gemini
21%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
21%

Netflix Game Controller
21%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
3%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Claude by Anthropic at 82% implied probability for the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, driven by its explosive growth trajectory since late February 2026, when the AI assistant app briefly dethroned ChatGPT from the top position amid tripled downloads between February and March. Currently ranking #2 or #3 behind ChatGPT (#1) and tax-season frontrunner TurboTax, Claude's sustained momentum from enhanced capabilities—like advanced coding, research, and workflow automation—has fueled viral adoption, outpacing rivals like Google Gemini (7%) and Meta AI (5.5%). ChatGPT holds a solid 13.5% chance of displacing it via daily ranking volatility, with TurboTax fading post-tax deadlines; resolution hinges on overnight download surges typical in the competitive AI app ecosystem.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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