Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic claiming the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, propelled by its surge from lower rankings to a consistent top-3 position since late February 2026, when it briefly dethroned ChatGPT as #1 amid publicity from a Pentagon contract dispute. Claude's downloads tripled between February and March, fueled by advanced reasoning capabilities in its latest models outperforming rivals on coding benchmarks, while ChatGPT holds steady at #1 (17.5% for #2). TurboTax lingers at low odds (2.5%) as tax filings peak ahead of the April 15 deadline, with post-deadline drop-off expected to elevate AI chatbots like Meta AI (16.5%) and Google Gemini (14.0%). Netflix Game Controller (15.0%) trails on transient gaming hype, but Claude's momentum positions it as the frontrunner absent surprises.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Claude by Anthropic 91%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 33%
Google Gemini 22%
Netflix Game Controller 19%

Claude by Anthropic
82%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
33%

Google Gemini
22%

Netflix Game Controller
19%

ChatGPT
16%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
3%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
Claude by Anthropic 91%
Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 33%
Google Gemini 22%
Netflix Game Controller 19%

Claude by Anthropic
82%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses
33%

Google Gemini
22%

Netflix Game Controller
19%

ChatGPT
16%

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return
3%

<1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
<1%

Threads
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic claiming the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, propelled by its surge from lower rankings to a consistent top-3 position since late February 2026, when it briefly dethroned ChatGPT as #1 amid publicity from a Pentagon contract dispute. Claude's downloads tripled between February and March, fueled by advanced reasoning capabilities in its latest models outperforming rivals on coding benchmarks, while ChatGPT holds steady at #1 (17.5% for #2). TurboTax lingers at low odds (2.5%) as tax filings peak ahead of the April 15 deadline, with post-deadline drop-off expected to elevate AI chatbots like Meta AI (16.5%) and Google Gemini (14.0%). Netflix Game Controller (15.0%) trails on transient gaming hype, but Claude's momentum positions it as the frontrunner absent surprises.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions