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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Market icon

Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Espanha 17.1%

França 16.4%

Inglaterra 11.0%

Argentina 8.8%

Polymarket

$661,449,886 Vol.

Espanha 17.1%

França 16.4%

Inglaterra 11.0%

Argentina 8.8%

Polymarket

$661,449,886 Vol.

A Espanha vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Espanha

$13,599,154 Vol.

17%

A França vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

França

$13,471,649 Vol.

16%

A Inglaterra vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Inglaterra

$11,502,512 Vol.

11%

A Argentina vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Argentina

$12,062,630 Vol.

9%

O Brasil vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Brasil

$11,784,491 Vol.

9%

Portugal ganhará a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Portugal

$12,868,764 Vol.

7%

A Alemanha ganhará a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Alemanha

$10,820,020 Vol.

5%

A Holanda vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Holanda

$13,707,654 Vol.

3%

A Noruega vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Noruega

$12,006,246 Vol.

2%

O Japão vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Japão

$14,764,183 Vol.

2%

A Bélgica vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Bélgica

$11,752,219 Vol.

2%

A Colômbia vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Colômbia

$10,991,436 Vol.

2%

O Marrocos vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Marrocos

$13,339,928 Vol.

2%

Os EUA vão ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

EUA

$11,421,066 Vol.

1%

O México vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

México

$12,582,533 Vol.

1%

A Suíça vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Suíça

$12,468,593 Vol.

1%

O Uruguai vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Uruguai

$12,302,049 Vol.

1%

A Croácia vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Croácia

$10,930,314 Vol.

1%

A Turquia vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Turquia

$4,554,186 Vol.

1%

O Equador vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Equador

$14,290,994 Vol.

1%

O Senegal vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Senegal

$12,279,352 Vol.

1%

O Canadá ganhará a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Canadá

$14,780,747 Vol.

1%

A Áustria vai vencer a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Áustria

$13,520,059 Vol.

1%

A Suécia vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Suécia

$4,626,592 Vol.

1%

O Paraguai vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Paraguai

$15,203,548 Vol.

<1%

A Costa do Marfim vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Costa do Marfim

$12,623,569 Vol.

<1%

A Coreia do Sul vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Coreia do Sul

$18,115,369 Vol.

<1%

A Bósnia-Herzegovina vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Bósnia-Herzegovina

$4,343,725 Vol.

<1%

A Escócia vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Escócia

$15,328,733 Vol.

<1%

A Tchéquia vai vencer a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Tchéquia

$2,775,256 Vol.

<1%

O Egito vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Egito

$15,183,085 Vol.

<1%

O Irã vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Irã

$14,331,616 Vol.

<1%

Gana vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Gana

$13,779,030 Vol.

<1%

A Argélia vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Argélia

$14,721,203 Vol.

<1%

A Tunísia vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Tunísia

$14,345,928 Vol.

<1%

O Panamá vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Panamá

$3,938,843 Vol.

<1%

A África do Sul vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

África do Sul

$22,699,772 Vol.

<1%

A RD Congo vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

RD Congo

$9,673,633 Vol.

<1%

A Austrália vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Austrália

$12,567,517 Vol.

<1%

A Arábia Saudita vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Arábia Saudita

$21,120,731 Vol.

<1%

A Nova Zelândia vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Nova Zelândia

$22,596,659 Vol.

<1%

O Haiti vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Haiti

$15,342,111 Vol.

<1%

A Jordânia vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Jordânia

$19,355,721 Vol.

<1%

Curaçao vencerá a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Curaçao

$29,139,947 Vol.

<1%

O Uzbequistão vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Uzbequistão

$32,105,773 Vol.

<1%

O Iraque vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Iraque

$4,277,442 Vol.

<1%

Cabo Verde vencerá a Copa do Mundo FIFA de 2026? icon

Cabo Verde

$15,815,333 Vol.

<1%

O Catar vai ganhar a Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026? icon

Catar

$16,737,792 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the slim trader consensus favorite for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 17.2% implied probability following the qualifiers' conclusion on March 31, with both nations clustered atop the April 1 FIFA/Coca-Cola Men's World Rankings—France reclaiming No. 1 at 1877 points ahead of Spain's 1876—after strong March friendlies like Spain's 3-0 rout of Serbia. The top five outcomes remain tightly bunched under 12%, reflecting Europe's squad depth and golden generations peaking simultaneously, Spain's Euro 2024 triumph, France's consistent knockout prowess, England's star-laden attack despite recent draws, and South American qualifiers' toll on Argentina and Brazil amid aging cores like Messi's. No dominant force emerges in the expanded 48-team format, keeping paths open through group stage and playoffs.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$661,449,886
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain edges France as the slim trader consensus favorite for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 17.2% implied probability following the qualifiers' conclusion on March 31, with both nations clustered atop the April 1 FIFA/Coca-Cola Men's World Rankings—France reclaiming No. 1 at 1877 points ahead of Spain's 1876—after strong March friendlies like Spain's 3-0 rout of Serbia. The top five outcomes remain tightly bunched under 12%, reflecting Europe's squad depth and golden generations peaking simultaneously, Spain's Euro 2024 triumph, France's consistent knockout prowess, England's star-laden attack despite recent draws, and South American qualifiers' toll on Argentina and Brazil amid aging cores like Messi's. No dominant force emerges in the expanded 48-team format, keeping paths open through group stage and playoffs.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$661,449,886
Data de Término
20 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 17%, followed by "França" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $661.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "Espanha" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.