Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJannik Sinner 56%
Novak Djokovic 11.6%
Taylor Fritz 7.5%
Alexander Zverev 7.3%
$12,315,141 Vol.
$12,315,141 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
56%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Taylor Fritz
8%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Alex de Minaur
2%
Jakub Menšík
2%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Jannik Sinner 56%
Novak Djokovic 11.6%
Taylor Fritz 7.5%
Alexander Zverev 7.3%
$12,315,141 Vol.
$12,315,141 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
56%
Novak Djokovic
12%
Taylor Fritz
8%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Frances Tiafoe
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Alex de Minaur
2%
Jakub Menšík
2%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
João Fonseca
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Matteo Berrettini
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Gabriel Diallo
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's status as the defending Wimbledon champion and dominant world No. 1 underpins his leading 57.5% implied probability, even after an early Roland Garros exit and a deliberate choice to skip official grass warm-ups in favor of hard-court training and a late Hurlingham exhibition. Traders view his overall level and serve as decisive advantages on the surface. Novak Djokovic sits second at 11.9% due to his unmatched grass-court experience, tactical acumen, and focused schedule aimed at freshness for the fortnight despite turning 39. Early grass results from players like Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, combined with limited head-to-head data on the lawns this season, help explain the spread among the remaining field, where form, movement, and draw positioning shape the tighter probabilities behind the top two.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions