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icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026
Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026
Desporto·Futebol

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 53.6%

Lamine Yamal 22.1%

Kylian Mbappé 11.6%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$35,960,864 Vol.

Harry Kane 53.6%

Lamine Yamal 22.1%

Kylian Mbappé 11.6%

Rodri 5%

Polymarket

$35,960,864 Vol.

Harry Kane

$4,213,147 Vol.

54%

Lamine Yamal

$2,390,042 Vol.

22%

Kylian Mbappé

$2,287,818 Vol.

12%

Rodri

$1,765,956 Vol.

5%

Lionel Messi

$2,606,083 Vol.

3%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1,645,696 Vol.

2%

Ousmane Dembélé

$2,381,132 Vol.

1%

Fabian Ruiz

$1,256,306 Vol.

1%

Michael Olise

$1,843,405 Vol.

<1%

Erling Haaland

$1,759,482 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$1,327,378 Vol.

<1%

Pau Cubarsi

$1,051,002 Vol.

<1%

Vinícius Júnior

$1,069,455 Vol.

<1%

Declan Rice

$910,685 Vol.

<1%

Vitinha

$853,145 Vol.

<1%

Achraf Hakimi

$740,086 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Fernandes

$711,222 Vol.

<1%

Luis Diaz

$440,734 Vol.

<1%

Lautaro Martinez

$492,016 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus in the 2026 Ballon d’Or market after a record 73-goal campaign for Bayern Munich and England, including 61 strikes that powered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal triumphs plus six World Cup goals en route to England’s third-place finish. Lamine Yamal sits second on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga title and Spain’s World Cup victory, where his creativity stood out despite injury limitations earlier in the year. Kylian Mbappé’s case rests on prolific scoring, including a World Cup Golden Boot, though Real Madrid’s lack of major silverware tempers his position. Rodri benefits from Spain’s international success and prior individual recognition, while Lionel Messi’s eight World Cup goals sustain interest despite his age. The September shortlist announcement and ensuing media debate have sharpened focus on these individual and collective achievements ahead of the October ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$35,960,864
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads trader consensus in the 2026 Ballon d’Or market after a record 73-goal campaign for Bayern Munich and England, including 61 strikes that powered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal triumphs plus six World Cup goals en route to England’s third-place finish. Lamine Yamal sits second on the back of Barcelona’s La Liga title and Spain’s World Cup victory, where his creativity stood out despite injury limitations earlier in the year. Kylian Mbappé’s case rests on prolific scoring, including a World Cup Golden Boot, though Real Madrid’s lack of major silverware tempers his position. Rodri benefits from Spain’s international success and prior individual recognition, while Lionel Messi’s eight World Cup goals sustain interest despite his age. The September shortlist announcement and ensuing media debate have sharpened focus on these individual and collective achievements ahead of the October ceremony.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$35,960,864
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 54%, followed by "Lamine Yamal" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $36 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamine Yamal" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.