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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 26.7%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Vitinha 11.8%

Ousmane Dembélé 11.3%

Polymarket

$4,084,397 Vol.

Harry Kane 26.7%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Vitinha 11.8%

Ousmane Dembélé 11.3%

Polymarket

$4,084,397 Vol.

Harry Kane

$733,704 Vol.

27%

Lamine Yamal

$95,489 Vol.

16%

Vitinha

$70,640 Vol.

12%

Ousmane Dembélé

$541,180 Vol.

11%

Michael Olise

$103,002 Vol.

11%

Kylian Mbappé

$154,648 Vol.

9%

Declan Rice

$77,111 Vol.

4%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$83,588 Vol.

3%

Bruno Fernandes

$53,293 Vol.

3%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$69,468 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$276,288 Vol.

2%

Julian Alvarez

$37,927 Vol.

1%

Vinícius Júnior

$479,437 Vol.

1%

Lautaro Martinez

$50,772 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$40,442 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$290,155 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$44,777 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$35,007 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$45,747 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$266,792 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$315,911 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$96,635 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$44,462 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$79,897 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 25.9% implied probability thanks to his historic 66-goal domestic campaign at Bayern Munich, where he secured the Bundesliga title plus DFB-Pokal and Supercup silverware while topping Europe's scoring charts. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the back of 25 goals and 20 assists that powered Barcelona to La Liga and Supercopa success, though his World Cup availability remains a variable. PSG's Champions League and Ligue 1 triumphs elevate Vitinha and Ousmane Dembélé into double digits, highlighting how major club trophies differentiate contenders in a fragmented field. Michael Olise benefits from Bayern's attacking depth, while the wide-open race hinges on World Cup performances that routinely override regular-season metrics for voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,084,397
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 25.9% implied probability thanks to his historic 66-goal domestic campaign at Bayern Munich, where he secured the Bundesliga title plus DFB-Pokal and Supercup silverware while topping Europe's scoring charts. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the back of 25 goals and 20 assists that powered Barcelona to La Liga and Supercopa success, though his World Cup availability remains a variable. PSG's Champions League and Ligue 1 triumphs elevate Vitinha and Ousmane Dembélé into double digits, highlighting how major club trophies differentiate contenders in a fragmented field. Michael Olise benefits from Bayern's attacking depth, while the wide-open race hinges on World Cup performances that routinely override regular-season metrics for voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,084,397
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 27%, followed by "Lamine Yamal" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $4.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamine Yamal" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.