Harry Kane leads the trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 27% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign with over 60 goals across competitions, a Bundesliga title, and DFB-Pokal success at Bayern Munich. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18.1% on the strength of PSG's domestic dominance and his creative output despite injury interruptions, while Lamine Yamal's 15% reflects Barcelona's strong showings and his high volume of chances created. Vitinha and others trail as the field remains wide open ahead of the World Cup, where national team contributions and final trophy outcomes will likely separate the top contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026
Harry Kane 27.0%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.0%
$3,927,662 Vol.
$3,927,662 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Vitinha
10%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Bruno Fernandes
5%
Michael Olise
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desejo Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.0%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.0%
$3,927,662 Vol.
$3,927,662 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Vitinha
10%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Bruno Fernandes
5%
Michael Olise
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desejo Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 27% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign with over 60 goals across competitions, a Bundesliga title, and DFB-Pokal success at Bayern Munich. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18.1% on the strength of PSG's domestic dominance and his creative output despite injury interruptions, while Lamine Yamal's 15% reflects Barcelona's strong showings and his high volume of chances created. Vitinha and others trail as the field remains wide open ahead of the World Cup, where national team contributions and final trophy outcomes will likely separate the top contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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