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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 28.0%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Ousmane Dembélé 12.1%

Vitinha 8.9%

Polymarket

$4,131,702 Vol.

Harry Kane 28.0%

Lamine Yamal 16%

Ousmane Dembélé 12.1%

Vitinha 8.9%

Polymarket

$4,131,702 Vol.

Harry Kane

$734,492 Vol.

28%

Lamine Yamal

$95,935 Vol.

16%

Ousmane Dembélé

$543,468 Vol.

12%

Vitinha

$71,220 Vol.

9%

Michael Olise

$103,506 Vol.

9%

Kylian Mbappé

$154,739 Vol.

9%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$75,458 Vol.

5%

Declan Rice

$78,081 Vol.

4%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$83,757 Vol.

3%

Bruno Fernandes

$55,180 Vol.

3%

Vinícius Júnior

$481,343 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$276,731 Vol.

2%

Lautaro Martinez

$50,990 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$290,660 Vol.

1%

Julian Alvarez

$43,422 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$36,245 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$40,536 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$44,807 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$45,944 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$267,329 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$329,418 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$99,121 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$44,492 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$84,853 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).**Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 28% implied probability thanks to his record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he scored over 60 goals across all competitions while claiming the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and individual scoring honors.** This volume of output, combined with consistent big-chance creation and leadership for England, has established him as the trader consensus frontrunner ahead of the World Cup. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his creative output and star power at Barcelona, though a lower goal tally and any fitness concerns temper his edge. Ousmane Dembélé (12.1%) benefits from PSG's European and domestic successes, while Michael Olise and Vitinha reflect strong supporting campaigns at Bayern and PSG. With the World Cup now underway, standout performances in the knockout stages remain the clearest path for challengers to close the gap on Kane's club-season dominance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,131,702
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).**Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 28% implied probability thanks to his record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he scored over 60 goals across all competitions while claiming the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and individual scoring honors.** This volume of output, combined with consistent big-chance creation and leadership for England, has established him as the trader consensus frontrunner ahead of the World Cup. Lamine Yamal sits second at 15.5% on the strength of his creative output and star power at Barcelona, though a lower goal tally and any fitness concerns temper his edge. Ousmane Dembélé (12.1%) benefits from PSG's European and domestic successes, while Michael Olise and Vitinha reflect strong supporting campaigns at Bayern and PSG. With the World Cup now underway, standout performances in the knockout stages remain the clearest path for challengers to close the gap on Kane's club-season dominance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$4,131,702
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 28%, followed by "Lamine Yamal" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $4.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lamine Yamal" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.