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Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

icon for Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026

Harry Kane 27.2%

Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%

Lamine Yamal 15%

Vitinha 10.0%

Polymarket

$3,926,741 Vol.

Harry Kane 27.2%

Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%

Lamine Yamal 15%

Vitinha 10.0%

Polymarket

$3,926,741 Vol.

Harry Kane

$732,171 Vol.

27%

Ousmane Dembélé

$494,622 Vol.

18%

Lamine Yamal

$92,358 Vol.

15%

Vitinha

$69,861 Vol.

10%

Kylian Mbappé

$151,063 Vol.

10%

Bruno Fernandes

$52,674 Vol.

5%

Michael Olise

$99,642 Vol.

5%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$82,154 Vol.

3%

Declan Rice

$76,267 Vol.

2%

Cristiano Ronaldo

$66,534 Vol.

2%

Erling Haaland

$275,747 Vol.

2%

Lautaro Martinez

$50,578 Vol.

1%

Raphinha

$44,777 Vol.

1%

Vinícius Júnior

$479,437 Vol.

1%

Achraf Hakimi

$33,660 Vol.

1%

Pedri

$289,692 Vol.

1%

Desejo Doue

$40,093 Vol.

1%

Luis Diaz

$45,672 Vol.

<1%

Julian Alvarez

$36,358 Vol.

<1%

Mohamed Salah

$277,720 Vol.

<1%

Cole Palmer

$77,118 Vol.

<1%

Federico Valverde

$44,380 Vol.

<1%

Jude Bellingham

$242,464 Vol.

<1%

Dominik Szoboszlai

$71,893 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 27.2% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich featuring exceptional goal tallies, Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs, and consistent all-around contributions as a striker. Ousmane Dembélé follows at 18.1% amid strong PSG performances and prior recognition, while Lamine Yamal sits at 15.0% on the strength of his Barcelona form and rapid rise. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and others trail with lower shares reflecting solid but less dominant club outputs. With the 2026 World Cup approaching, national team results and standout tournament showings among contenders like Kane, Dembélé, and Yamal remain pivotal differentiators in this wide-open race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,926,741
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 27.2% implied probability, driven by his standout 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich featuring exceptional goal tallies, Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs, and consistent all-around contributions as a striker. Ousmane Dembélé follows at 18.1% amid strong PSG performances and prior recognition, while Lamine Yamal sits at 15.0% on the strength of his Barcelona form and rapid rise. Vitinha, Kylian Mbappé, and others trail with lower shares reflecting solid but less dominant club outputs. With the 2026 World Cup approaching, national team results and standout tournament showings among contenders like Kane, Dembélé, and Yamal remain pivotal differentiators in this wide-open race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$3,926,741
Data de Término
31 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Harry Kane" at 27%, followed by "Ousmane Dembélé" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" has generated $3.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" is "Harry Kane" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ousmane Dembélé" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.