Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 26.3% implied probability due to his record-breaking 2025-26 goal tally exceeding 60 across competitions, combined with Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs at Bayern Munich. Lamine Yamal follows at 14.5% on the strength of his creative output and Barcelona's La Liga success, while Ousmane Dembélé sits at 12.3% amid PSG's Champions League win and his own double-digit goal-assist contributions. Vitinha and Michael Olise round out the top five through consistent midfield and wing play in title-winning campaigns, with the wide-open field reflecting how individual brilliance, team silverware, and positional impact differentiate contenders in a season of distributed excellence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026
Harry Kane 26.3%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.2%
Vitinha 10.8%
$4,038,220 Vol.
$4,038,220 Vol.
Harry Kane
26%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Ousmane Dembélé
12%
Vitinha
11%
Michael Olise
10%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Bruno Fernandes
4%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Desejo Doue
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 26.3%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Ousmane Dembélé 12.2%
Vitinha 10.8%
$4,038,220 Vol.
$4,038,220 Vol.
Harry Kane
26%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Ousmane Dembélé
12%
Vitinha
11%
Michael Olise
10%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Bruno Fernandes
4%
Declan Rice
4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Desejo Doue
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Raphinha
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 26.3% implied probability due to his record-breaking 2025-26 goal tally exceeding 60 across competitions, combined with Bundesliga and domestic cup triumphs at Bayern Munich. Lamine Yamal follows at 14.5% on the strength of his creative output and Barcelona's La Liga success, while Ousmane Dembélé sits at 12.3% amid PSG's Champions League win and his own double-digit goal-assist contributions. Vitinha and Michael Olise round out the top five through consistent midfield and wing play in title-winning campaigns, with the wide-open field reflecting how individual brilliance, team silverware, and positional impact differentiate contenders in a season of distributed excellence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions