Harry Kane leads the trader consensus at 27.2% implied probability following a record 61-goal, 51-game campaign at Bayern Munich that delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus multiple individual scoring marks. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18.1% after PSG captured the Champions League, highlighting how club silverware and continental pedigree can offset raw output differences. Lamine Yamal at 15.0% and Vitinha at 10.0% reflect standout creative contributions and domestic dominance, while Kylian Mbappé at 9.5% shows the impact of sustained elite form. The wide-open field stems from the approaching World Cup, where national-team results and late-season momentum could still shift voter emphasis among the top contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da Bola de Ouro 2026
Harry Kane 27.2%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.0%
$3,926,733 Vol.
$3,926,733 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Vitinha
10%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Bruno Fernandes
6%
Michael Olise
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desejo Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 27.2%
Ousmane Dembélé 18.1%
Lamine Yamal 15%
Vitinha 10.0%
$3,926,733 Vol.
$3,926,733 Vol.
Harry Kane
27%
Ousmane Dembélé
18%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Vitinha
10%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Bruno Fernandes
6%
Michael Olise
5%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Declan Rice
2%
Cristiano Ronaldo
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Pedri
1%
Desejo Doue
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the trader consensus at 27.2% implied probability following a record 61-goal, 51-game campaign at Bayern Munich that delivered Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal titles plus multiple individual scoring marks. Ousmane Dembélé sits second at 18.1% after PSG captured the Champions League, highlighting how club silverware and continental pedigree can offset raw output differences. Lamine Yamal at 15.0% and Vitinha at 10.0% reflect standout creative contributions and domestic dominance, while Kylian Mbappé at 9.5% shows the impact of sustained elite form. The wide-open field stems from the approaching World Cup, where national-team results and late-season momentum could still shift voter emphasis among the top contenders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions