St. Pauli's home advantage at Millerntor-Stadion edges trader consensus to 39.5% implied probability in this pivotal Bundesliga relegation six-pointer, with both sides mired near the bottom—St. Pauli 16th on 25 points after 28 matchdays, Köln 15th on 27—desperate for points to escape the drop zone. Recent resilience bolsters the hosts, who earned a gritty 1-1 draw at Union Berlin despite Jackson Irvine's late red card, extending an unbeaten run in their last two while showcasing solid defensive concessions (1.61 per game). Köln's 30.5% reflects ongoing defensive crisis with key absences including Joël Schmied, Timo Hübers, and Luca Kilian, compounding poor away form; their December head-to-head ended 1-1. Draw pricing at 29.5% underscores the tight, low-scoring contest expected between struggling attacks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIf FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC St. Pauli 1910 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...St. Pauli's home advantage at Millerntor-Stadion edges trader consensus to 39.5% implied probability in this pivotal Bundesliga relegation six-pointer, with both sides mired near the bottom—St. Pauli 16th on 25 points after 28 matchdays, Köln 15th on 27—desperate for points to escape the drop zone. Recent resilience bolsters the hosts, who earned a gritty 1-1 draw at Union Berlin despite Jackson Irvine's late red card, extending an unbeaten run in their last two while showcasing solid defensive concessions (1.61 per game). Köln's 30.5% reflects ongoing defensive crisis with key absences including Joël Schmied, Timo Hübers, and Luca Kilian, compounding poor away form; their December head-to-head ended 1-1. Draw pricing at 29.5% underscores the tight, low-scoring contest expected between struggling attacks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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