Union Berlin's trader-implied 45.5% win probability reflects their home advantage at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, where they've won the last six meetings against St. Pauli, bolstered by a near-full squad after Andras Schäfer's suspension return and only backup goalkeeper Matheo Raab sidelined with a broken hand. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog odds stem from their relegation playoff position (16th, 24 points), dismal away form (six losses in seven league games), and defensive injury crisis—Eric Smith (calf), Lars Ritzka (shoulder), James Sands (ankle), and others out—leaving them vulnerable despite recent leads squandered, like the 2-1 loss to Freiburg. The 29.5% draw pricing highlights both sides' offensive struggles post-international break, with Union failing to score in three of 11 and St. Pauli netting one or fewer in five of six.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin's trader-implied 45.5% win probability reflects their home advantage at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, where they've won the last six meetings against St. Pauli, bolstered by a near-full squad after Andras Schäfer's suspension return and only backup goalkeeper Matheo Raab sidelined with a broken hand. St. Pauli's 24.5% underdog odds stem from their relegation playoff position (16th, 24 points), dismal away form (six losses in seven league games), and defensive injury crisis—Eric Smith (calf), Lars Ritzka (shoulder), James Sands (ankle), and others out—leaving them vulnerable despite recent leads squandered, like the 2-1 loss to Freiburg. The 29.5% draw pricing highlights both sides' offensive struggles post-international break, with Union failing to score in three of 11 and St. Pauli netting one or fewer in five of six.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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