Market icon

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Market icon

ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

NOVO
10 abr 2026
Polymarket

$2,846 Vol.

Polymarket

April 10

$1,040 Vol.

1%

April 11

$505 Vol.

60%

April 12

$1,172 Vol.

82%

April 13

$128 Vol.

89%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). ChatGPT clings to the #2 spot among free iPhone apps in the US App Store, trailing Monopoly GO! but ahead of rivals Claude (#3), Meta AI (#4), and Google Gemini (#6), reflecting trader consensus on its resilient user adoption despite App Store volatility from viral games and events like The Masters Tournament. A mid-March boycott spurred by OpenAI's military contract acceptance propelled Anthropic's Claude to #1 temporarily, spiking ChatGPT uninstalls 295% and one-star reviews 775%, but superior GPT-5.4 large language model capabilities—including enhanced reasoning and multimodality—enabled a swift rebound. Recent launches like ChatGPT Pro and GPT-5.3 Instant Mini bolster competitive positioning, while upcoming model iterations or feature rollouts could catalyze a return to the top amid fluctuating daily rankings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$2,846
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: No

Janela de disputa

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone). ChatGPT clings to the #2 spot among free iPhone apps in the US App Store, trailing Monopoly GO! but ahead of rivals Claude (#3), Meta AI (#4), and Google Gemini (#6), reflecting trader consensus on its resilient user adoption despite App Store volatility from viral games and events like The Masters Tournament. A mid-March boycott spurred by OpenAI's military contract acceptance propelled Anthropic's Claude to #1 temporarily, spiking ChatGPT uninstalls 295% and one-star reviews 775%, but superior GPT-5.4 large language model capabilities—including enhanced reasoning and multimodality—enabled a swift rebound. Recent launches like ChatGPT Pro and GPT-5.3 Instant Mini bolster competitive positioning, while upcoming model iterations or feature rollouts could catalyze a return to the top amid fluctuating daily rankings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$2,846
Data de Término
13 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 10, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is ranked the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: No

Janela de disputa

Final

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 13" at 89%, followed by "April 12" at 82%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" is "April 13" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 12" at 82%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ChatGPT back in as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.